5NL FR- AKs in the HJ vs UTG+1 donk - 140bb deep

edit: sorry I am CO, not HJ - if a mod could change the title?

Opp is 45 / 5 / 2.0AF over 21 hands.

I feel the small donk bet on the flop is more often than not begging for a cheap card with a draw or weak ace, plus I want to iso him so I think a raise is in order? Probably have to fold if he reraises though.

More potential draws on the turn and his range stays the same after he checks. 2/3rd PSB b/f seems right?

The river is really where my question is. After he called the turn and checked the river, I feel his range consists of busted draws, flushes and weak aces. His 2.0 AF tells me he is not completely passive, so I would think he would have raised two pairs or a set before the river.

So here is what I have for his call-a-shove range (basically all his heart flush combos which he would possibly have called the flop raise with, plus his TPTK/TPGK hands, plus A5):
AJs+,Ah9h,Ah8h,Ah6h,A5s,Ah3h,Ah2h,KhQh,KhJh,KhTh,Q hJh,QhTh,JhTh,Th9h,9h8h,AJo+,A5o

Against this range, I have 48% equity. I guess it is also questionable whether he calls a shove with TPGK on a 3-flush board and after having been barreled into twice already. However it is probably also questionable whether he would check the river when he hits a flush, but I would not exclude it.

Looks like a check behind to me. I don't feel that stacking off 140bb deep with just a pair is correct here?


Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

Hero (CO) ($9.26)
Button ($2.62)
SB ($4.95)
BB ($5.14)
UTG ($5)
MP ($7.10)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, K
1 fold, MP calls $0.05, Hero bets $0.25, Button calls $0.25, 2 folds, MP calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.82) A, 10, 7 (3 players)
MP bets $0.15, Hero raises to $0.90, 1 fold, MP calls $0.75

Turn: ($2.62) 4 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $1.70, MP calls $1.70

River: ($6.02) 5 (2 players)
MP checks

Hero?