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44 set on flop, bad turn, nightmare river -> Correct lay down?
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (7 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP1 ($6.17)
MP2 ($1.79)
CO ($5.61)
Button ($4.93)
Hero (SB) ($5.36)
BB ($2.08)
UTG ($2.63)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 4, 4
3 folds, CO bets $0.15, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.13, 1 fold
Flop: ($0.35) 8, 4, Q (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks
Turn: ($0.35) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $0.30, CO calls $0.30
River: ($0.95) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $0.65, Hero folds
Total pot: $0.95 | Rake: $0.06
So, analysis time. I call the pfr to set mine against a 24/19 opponent who I can probably squeeze some $$$ out of if I hit. I hit the flop, woo, and decide to check raise as I expect a c-bet. Unfortunately he doesn't c bet and we are onto the turn. Turn brings a queen and I think, right, I have a full house so if he has a set of qeens or two pair 8s and queens then it's value town time so I bet. He calls and a queen comes on the river. Damn.
Okay, preflop he has a fairly wide range in CO position maybe as low as K8s and 88+. On the flop he checks behind so this gives next to no information about his hand, he could have 88 or QQ and be slow playing but I think this is unlikely. On the turn he calls my pot sized bet so he must have something that connected with the board (presume no overpairs as he surely would have bet the flop with these) although it would be sensible to leave some air in his range. River brings the nightmare card: here my 44 is almost worthless and all I can beat is air. So I guess the question of whether I made a correct laydown or not rests on how much air he would bet the river with... This could be a lot but it could also be very little and with only 60 hands on him and few reads I think the laydown was correct.
So, two questions. 1. Do you think I made a correct laydown? 2. Should I have b/f on the river?
Thanks
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