About 2 weeks ago I was reading my bathroom material (The Little Green Book) and I read this section about a 4 and 2 rule. Which states that if you multiply the amount of outs you have by 4 on the flop and 2 on the turn you can get a quick percentage of making your hand. So, without even thinking about it I try it out and WOW I can make a lot of calls I wouldn't normally be able to do.

Just today I'm wondering about this system because I start losing some money due to a lot of chasing. Well, okay here is an example:

Say I have 4 outs(gut shot straight draw).
On the flop:

Gordon method - 4 x 4 = 16. 16% chance of hitting my gut shot.
Outs/rest of deck - 4/47 = 8.5. 8.5% chance of hitting my gut shot.
Ratio - 4:47 = 11. 11:1 on hitting my gutshot.

16% and 8.5% is a huge diffrence. Now when I realized this I was confused. Could Phil Gordon's system be messed up?

If my math is wrong above please correct me, and inform me on how this is done. Thanks.


-aytopper