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 Originally Posted by CrackedMonkey
What are the odds of hitting a 7 9 sc or something similar on the flop?
hitting trips is 8 to 1
Anyone know the odds?
79 would be a sg (suited gapper) not sc.. .. but anyway, I ran the math on this a month ago. Let's see if I can remember.
A sc not too close to the edge (45s and up) will flop big 5% of the time, big being 2 pair, trips, straight, flush, boat, quads, straight flush. 10% of the time you'll hit a straight draw, 10% a flush draw.
The only difference between a sg and a sc is that the odds to hit a straight with a sg are a little less. Compare 89 and 79, and you can see that with 3 board cards, we can fit 4 straights around 89, while only 3 straights around 79. In practical terms, the 5% to flop big is decreased a little, but this is neglectible.. and the odds to flop a straight draw are decreased from 1/10 to 1/12. This counts for sg 53s and up.
So
SC flop 2p+ 1/20, straight draw 1/10, flush draw 1/10
SG flop 2p+ 1/20, straight draw 1/12, flush draw 1/10.
Or with the other terminology
SC flop 2p+ is 19:1, straight draw 9:1, flush draw 9:1
SG flop 2p+ is 19:1, straight draw 11:1, flush draw 9:1
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