UTG is an awful player who limps 50% of the time, so the
raise is pretty
standard. He's also
limp/
fold 20% so I was pretty sure he'd come along.
SB has played 5/5 hands since he's been sat down.
BB this is the first hand he played since he sat down (1/3)
Sound but probably better to call people "weak" rather then awful. This mindset of calling people awful is poor and I used to do the same thing. I think it's better to think about is wow this has this hole in his game. Instead of generalizing to omg he's awful how does he have this in this situation. This isn't a huge deal though but I think it does affect how one perceives their opponent.
When the
flop comes I'
m fairly confident I'
m ahead. I think there could be a couple of
flush draws I want to
push people off when they
call behind so I
raise it (sizing ok?)
Good, almost. You should probably bet a larger(You bet 40c into 70c). You aren't "pushing them off" draws. You are charging them and actually hoping they'll tag along. If you don't want them to tag along then you aren't betting enough unless you know they fold fds with a good price in which case betting smaller on purpose is good but this never happens in real life.
When the SB calls I put him on a Kx type hand. I'
m not 100% sure if he'd do the same with a decent
pocket pair.
I think you are overestimating how strong his range is here.
If he had
two pair I think he'd
shove. I'
m also pretty certain he'd
shove AK. Sets he'd also
shove, I'd guess he'd bet more with them originally too, but I just
don't think he understands
pot odds.
When the Ace comes down on the
turn he shoves. I think this is because it's a pretty good
scare card and he wants to
push me off any King I may have. The only thing I am slightly worried about is if he had the nut
FD however he's pretty short stacked now so he's shoving a lot of
turn cards
imo.
At this point you can just count combinations and use pokerstove to help if you after you've analyzed it in your head or on paper without pokerstove. You are definitely "should" be a dog but I doubt it'll ever be enough to justity a fold
I'
m pretty sure calling is the only
option. I was pretty certain I was pushing him all in on most turns, just not 100% confident in my reasoning as there may be some
Ax hand I've completely missed, etc.
Ofcourse. You should be shoving turn 100% at this point on any turn v this guy.
(If
UTG or SB shoved
otf I'd be quite happy calling, if BB shoved I'd be lost as to what to do)
If BB shoves you just have to get it in, can't fold to a random although if he sat for a couple hands and didn't post until his BB it makes it SLIGHTLY more likely he a real hand. Not enough to change your mind in this situation though.