how many combos of 99-JJ (out of 18) do we think he's firing the turn with? seems to be the key to deciding how to play the turn. the Q blocker rules out AQs and KQs for flush draws so there are prob 4 flush draw combos at the most (less than there are of each individual overpair, for a bit of perspective). i dont like raising the turn here because i think he's folding 99-JJ (if he even fires the second barrel with them) a decent percent of the time, so we get it in bad way more often than not when we raise turn (i'm thinking vs KK+,AcKc,AcJc). now i look at it, i think i'd take the exact same line, assuming you folded river.