2NL - AA UTG+1 vs long term winning super nit on the button

i agree with dranger, except i doubt this guy is even raising AK. not after you bet the turn. i'd probably prefer checking the turn against this guy because i think you're more likely to get river value than if you flop/turn barrel. the only hands in his PF calling range that you get value from betting the turn are KQ,AK.

classic set line

Originally Posted by rpm

i agree with dranger, except i doubt this guy is even raising AK. not after you bet the turn. i'd probably prefer checking the turn because against this guy because i think you're more likely to get river value than if you flop/turn barrel. the only hands in his PF calling range that you get value from betting the turn are KQ,AK.

Im not even sure Kqo is part of his range. One he calls our flop bet i put villain on AK or a set. I greatly discount AA and KK most nits are gonna reraise us pre-flop with those hands. So i say his range seeing the flop is 22-qq AKs-ATs Ako-AQo Kqs-KTs and qjs.


Once he call our flop bet he has either AK or 33 or 44 he has a 16 percent chance of having 13.5 percent chance of having AK and around a 7 percent chance of having a set so his range is weighted signifiganty to tptk. As far as betting or checking the turn goes i'm not sure if one is really better then the other.