2NL 6max - extracting with a set vs loose aggro

Opp seems very loose aggro with 31 / 29 / 54ATS / 20-3b% / 2.5AF / 26% HEM AFq over 59 hands. Has 4b me on the two occasions that I 3b his steals and I folded. He seems a bit calmer post flop and is capable of checking down some of his fair hands (second pair, top pair weak kicker, A-high, etc).

Standard?

$0.01/$0.02 No Limit Holdem
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($10.17)
CO ($0.93)
BTN ($4.44)
SB ($4.27)
Hero ($2.03)

Pre-Flop: ($0.03, 5 players) Hero is BB
2 folds, BTN raises to $0.07, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.05

Flop: ($0.15, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($0.15, 2 players)
Hero bets $0.11, BTN raises to $0.42, Hero goes all-in $1.96

Sorry for double post. One mod please delete the thread.

Others please comment on the hand here: http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ro-185252.html

wp

I'd probably bet the flop. If he just calls, bet small on the turn to induce. Once he raises, jam cuz now he's committed.

The % he c bets flop is a far more important stat than anything you posted here.

I donk flop for .13 since you have seen him check down several mid strength hands over this small sample. With an ATS of 54% there are lots of 9x 6x and jx hands that based on your read he will check which is alot of missed value for you.

Villains turn range is largely a mix of 9x hands, random bluffs, and draws. From reads provided villain seems competent enough that he will fold his draws and possibly some of his 9s as well as the bluffs to this shove. I call turn and c/jam river since his 9's are probably betting it and that's only way you will get value from his draws (hit or miss) and bluffs.