Thanks Yaawwn. Now for the river I was saying in my earlier post to thin value bet river based on opps' range I assigned above (we have 50 to 60% equity vs that range), but after talking with Spoon in irc yesterday, looks like I should discount sets quite a bit because sets would have raised the flop a non negligible % of the time.

So, as played on the flop and turn, is river a c/f as well b/c opp is unlikely to bet sets when checked to?