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25NL overpair river decision 4flush board

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  1. #1

    Default 25NL overpair river decision 4flush board

    Should we just c/f river? How should the other streets be played?

    Villain 24/14 over 78 hands:

    Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (7 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Button ($42.81)
    SB ($25)
    BB ($5)
    UTG ($10.20)
    MP1 ($5)
    Hero (MP2) ($28.24)
    CO ($32.24)

    Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 10, 10
    3 folds, Hero bets $0.75, CO calls $0.75, 2 folds

    Flop: ($1.75) 2, 8, 5 (2 players)
    Hero bets $1.20, CO calls $1.20

    Turn: ($4.15) 3 (2 players)
    Hero bets $2.50, CO calls $2.50

    River: ($9.15) J (2 players)
    Hero ????

    Total pot: $9.15 | Rake: $0.45
  2. #2
    FWIW the VPIP/PFR stat here is pretty irrelevant here since that is just PF stats and do not matter post flop much. Aggression and how often he goes to showdown would be more important here, but with a good sample size. 74 hands is not much.

    Bet more on the turn and C/F river. Without any history of any sort, no need to turn your hand into a bluff.
  3. #3
    Stacks's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
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    Im opedipus bitch, the original balla.
    I agree with L_Clan. More on turn ($3.20), and c/f this river. Betting river never gets called by worse, and he probably doesn't fold better all that often.
  4. #4
    turn needs to be at the very least $3. he's probably calling a lot on a 285 flop IP

    c/f river
  5. #5
    Guest
    I don't mind blasting full pot on the flop either
  6. #6
    flop definitely needs to be at least PSB because A, K, Q, J, 8, 7, 6, 4, 3 and any club are all scare cards in varying degrees. the turn bet sizing is like the equivalent of typing in the chat box "i don't like that third club" imo

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