hmmm.. I only have to win about around 10x my call on average when I make a set like this, in order for this play to be profitable (assuming I check/fold with no set). In the loose games I play, I don't think this is too much to expect, even given my positional disadvantage. These guys will take their TPTK or overpair to the felt alot of the time. I've even been all in on the flop with a set vs AK unimproved lol. Just my opinion, but I would feel like I was throwing away value folding these.

Whats your range from UTG, open raise AQ+/99+ fold everthing else?