Quote Originally Posted by Razvan729 View Post
for you to have 40% and just breakeven you need him to 4betshove 99+/AJ+ and that's a wide range even for a SS, that's 6.3% of the hands. and w/ that range you are 0EV or slight +EV w/ a huge variance and w/o other reads then just the fact he is a SS that minraises his BTN your assumption that he 4bets shove so wide is wrong.
I guess we'll just have to agree to disagree here. I'm assuming a 40BB short stack at 10NL is bad until proven otherwise, and he can be shoving wide here given it's 3 handed. Assuming he ships 22+/AJ+ as standard.

Thanks for replying though.