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 Originally Posted by oskar
I overbet the pot in both hands. By betting what you did bet with the stacks involved, you're giving all kinds of draws great implied odds.
This is bad. Overbet leading flop and turn accomplishes nothing but asking villian not to put more money in with decent one pairs. There is a threat of a deep stack having position on us, thats why it´s difficult to play deep oop and we want to proceed with caution when villian wakes up on later streets. We can deny his implied odds by reading his hand well and picking the right spots to fold to later streets aggression.
On OP:
I dont see him doing this with a Jx, those hands are way more likely to raise the flop. With reference to hand 1, you´re read is correct that he floated twice last time, he´s taking a different line this time tho, a line that looks like a set of deuces or tens, a Q9/KQ/98cc that picked up extra equity, less likely are pure Axcc floats or 44.
The high SPR in limped pots makes this a sucky spot. I´m torn between b/3b and b/c and reeval the river. If you´re comfortable with getting it in just 3b to something around 3.5 to 3.8 to set up stacks for a river shove. If not, call his bad ass minraise and be prepared for a tough decision in a lot of rivers.
edit: There more likely he his to have Jx in his range, the more willing should we be to get in asap.
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