10NL: trip 7's w/ Jack kicker facing all in

This hand was pretty early in the session. I could tell this villain was limping in with a very wide range of hands, but I hadn't really gotten any reads on how he plays post-flop.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (5 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (BB) ($9.81)
UTG ($15.29)
MP ($18.37)
Villain (Button) ($7.09)
SB ($3.88)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, J
2 folds, Villain calls $0.10, SB calls $0.05, Hero checks

Flop: ($0.30) A, 8, 7 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, Villain checks

Turn: ($0.30) 7 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, Villain bets $0.30, SB calls $0.30, Hero raises to $1, Villain raises to $6.99 (All-In), 1 fold, Hero ???

I figure the guy has a legitimate hand, but in the back on my mind I was wondering if he could be making a move with something like 10 9 of diamonds. I was also a little worried he might have been slow playing and made a set on the flop since, other than the fact that he liked to limp in a lot, I didn't have any reads on the guy.

Is my jack kicker likely to be good here?

You need 42% equity (call 5.99 to win 8.29).

1,232 games 0.001 secs 1,232,000 games/sec

Board: Ad 8c 7h 7d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 57.914% 53.00% 04.91% 653 60.50 { Js7c }
Hand 1: 42.086% 37.18% 04.91% 458 60.50 { 88, A8s-A7s, Td9d, 87s, 75s+, 6d5d, A8o-A7o, 87o, 75o+ }

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If you think that range is about accurate than call- but it's a good thread because I normally fold in a spot like that- I was a little surprised at our equity against that range.

I can't imagine the villain not putting some sort of bet in if he hit the flop. If he's got two pair, (A7, 87) he has to start building a pot for value. He could have had a naked ace, and now that he has two pair, he feels better about getting a chop against another ace. He could have the 15-outer, as you suggest, and be happy to either win the hand here or get a call and chase. If he had 88, he's got to bet the flop at least a micro amount to see if you guys have anything to call with.

Of course, if he crushed the flop, he might be hoping one of you takes a stab at it, and could be stacking off with Ax, but without some read on him, it's tough to know.

bet the turn wtf

Originally Posted by bigspenda73

bet the turn wtf

Yeah, he said that. But does he call the RRAI?

Originally Posted by dontezuma

I can't imagine the villain not putting some sort of bet in if he hit the flop. If he's got two pair, (A7, 87) he has to start building a pot for value. He could have had a naked ace, and now that he has two pair, he feels better about getting a chop against another ace. He could have the 15-outer, as you suggest, and be happy to either win the hand here or get a call and chase. If he had 88, he's got to bet the flop at least a micro amount to see if you guys have anything to call with.

Of course, if he crushed the flop, he might be hoping one of you takes a stab at it, and could be stacking off with Ax, but without some read on him, it's tough to know.

i guess i am a lowly 2nl player, but imo tons of people like to check their 2pairs, sets on the flop to try and slowplay, especially if he is a fish that is limpling a lot

Read this thread then post your own analysis of whether you should call or not.

http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...in-t87954.html

In addition, for fuck's sake bet the turn.

Well, the pot was 7.29, and it was going to be 5.99 to call, so I would have needed 45.1% equity to call. Using the most conservative range I could come up with (see below), it looks like I had 52% equity.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 52.652% 41.82% 10.83% 828 214.50 { Js7c }
Hand 1: 47.348% 36.52% 10.83% 723 214.50 { 88-77, A8s-A7s, K7s, Q7s, J7s, T7s, 97s, 87s, 75s+, A8o-A7o, K7o, Q7o, J7o, T7o, 97o, 87o, 75o+ }

Obviously, if you add in drawing hands like Td9d and 6d5d, my equity would have been even higher, so I guess calling was the right play.

pot was 8.29 imo

^^^ my mistake, thanks. So I guess I actually only needed 42% equity to call, and I think I had at least that against any range I can put him on.