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 10NL : River line
Villian Stats : (VP$IP/PFR [Street Aggression] 3-bet%)
20/8 [1 1 1] 0% over 13 hands.
My Thoughts And Questions
Preflop and flop is standard imo.
When he flats flop on connected board like that i am thinking his range consists of straight draws (OESD and gutter), 77-99, some suited aces that paired and gave the gutterball. Would expect him to protect strong made hands on this flop (sets, two pairs, overpairs).
Turn is a bet/fold card i think. When he flats again i am now dropping the Ax hands with the gutterball draw. He could be still trying to get showdown now with a 77-99 , but now i would think his range is mostly OESD and gutters with some pairing combos also. Altho i think perhaps he lets the gutters wihtout pairs go on the turn.
River isnt a card i am happy to see. Now my question is do i got check/fold, check/call or a type of blocking bet? The blocking bet gets value from the 77-99 part of his range. I would think the 78 gutter draw would have folded the turn, and the only 2x hands is prob A2 which i think villian would have gave more action at least by the turn. I think the 6 often pairs him up here and so can add some 6x hands that get value from a blocker bet.
I think say a A/K dropped on river that then the check/call line would be good and say a 7 or 2 dropped then i would be check/folding alot.
Thoughts?
Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
MP: $15.65
CO: $9.75
BTN: $8.20
SB: $4.10
BB: $15.70
Hero (UTG): $11.35
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with Q Q
Hero raises to $0.30, MP calls $0.30, 3 folds, BB calls $0.20
Flop: ($0.95) 3 4 5 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.70, MP calls $0.70, BB folds
Turn: ($2.35) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.50, MP calls $1.50
River: ($5.35) 6 (2 players)
Hero?
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