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10NL river decision

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  1. #1
    Razvan729's Avatar
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    Nov 2010
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    someone erased my post, dont matter.

    anyway flop calling puts him on sets, overpairs, spade FD, turn might add an hearts FD, but river shove seems thin to do it with air. you are beat there by most of its range so i dont see that 30% there.... my guess is always a fold here.

    i would pot flop and turn here and river is c/f for sure.
  2. #2
    You only beat a bluff at this point and I think he is not bluffing enough to make this a call (otherwise HE would be the aggressor).

    He could do this with a missed spade draw (assuming that you did not have a heart draw), but without reads, I'm not confident about calling. If we account for some of the combos that beat you and would take that line (11 combos of 88, 66, JJ, A3s), he yould need to bluff at least 9 combos of missed FDs (down to 45ss considering that QJss, AJss and KJss beat you now).

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