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 Originally Posted by Roid_Rage
You can't call the flop to c/f the turn here. After he raises, I can't really see an instance in which he checks back unless its with a FD, but even then, he's binking his flush almost 20% of the time on the turn and another 20% on the river when he checks back. That's giving up waaay too many chances for him to draw out on us.
Like I said, I like a flat, donkbet/ fold on the turn. Yes, we commit a large portion of our stack by doing so, but we also don't get fucking raped by his entire range, only the part that beats us and we get away for a lot cheaper by doing so then by just getting it in on the flop by a range that mostly dominates us.
I'd call to check turn with most cards, besides a K. My reasoning behind this is if the turn brings a blank and we check to him, he is only checking back if he is on a flush draw. If he has hit that flop with something decent then he is betting out on the turn after we check almost all the time for fear that we may be the ones drawing.
If this happens then depending on what the turn brings, is our KK better than what villain is holding? Going on the assumption that he has hit that flop in one way or another and most likely isn't drawing? At this point in time you'd need to have a good read on what type of villain you're up against.
If the turn brings a spade then I think it's a good move to c/fold to any sort of decent sized bet of his. If not a spade, see above.
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