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10NL - Fullring, ugly river with tpgk

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  1. #1

    Default 10NL - Fullring, ugly river with tpgk

    No stats/reads on Villain
    Did I play this good so far?
    Whats the best river line?
    Villain only has $4.82 left


    Button ($10.83)
    SB ($23.87)
    BB ($5.64)
    Hero (UTG) ($18.56)
    MP1 ($11.02)
    MP2 ($10.43)
    CO ($19.99)

    Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, Q
    BB calls $0.10, Hero bets $0.50, MP1 calls $0.50, 4 folds, BB calls $0.40

    Flop: ($1.60) Q, 9, J (3 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $1.60, MP1 calls $1.60, 1 fold

    Turn: ($4.80) 2 (2 players)
    Hero bets $4.10, MP1 calls $4.10

    River: ($13) 2 (2 players)
    Hero: ?????
    Total pot: $13
  2. #2
    well seeing as how there's only 1/3 PSB left behind and villain is a complete unknown, i don't think it's ever right to fold here, so our options are between bet, or c/c

    well, i'll think you'll find that like 80% of 10nl players will check behind ANYTHING worse here that might try to get to showdown. also, there's like nothing in his range that will wanna bluff here, except like AK and MAYBE 87, though that seems like a stretch without reads. also, he's almost always betting behind with everything that beats us (QJ, 2x, flushes), so we're not saving ourselves very much money by trying to check to see a cheap showdown.

    on the other hand, there's all sorts of stuff that unknowns will call with that's worse (QT, JT, T9 a lot of the times, KQ, etc).

    SO, checking allows us no advantage ('cause c/f is never our best option, we're not often "saving money" against hands that beat us and we get value from more of his range by just betting out than we do by checking to induce a bet from worse), so betting is superior.
  3. #3
    Bet or check fold. Hands you beat are usually checking behind but plenty of hands that you beat are calling a bet. So bet>check fold> check call

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