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 Originally Posted by surviva316
-c/r: This play seems really bad because once he 3b's, he has nothing that will fold to a shove and i have ~45% against his 3b'ing range, so shoving over him is bad. c/r/c'ing is obviously dumb, so that leaves c/r/f'ing which just sounds like a great way for him to win a medium pot 100% of the time he has sets+ (as opposed to losing a big pot about half the time if I play it a different way).
Why do you take it for granted that villain will 3-bet? Villain has stolen 100% from the button, and this is a button raise. I should expect you have some fold equity here. Even if villain does 3-bet the flop, you have a ton of equity and all that money in the pot giving you great odds to at least call or CiB if not ship it.
How can you even think of folding OESFD on the flop as +EV?
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