DA9ers wrote:
1. It doesnt even have to work 1/2 of the time to be profitable


you're going to have to explain this


Suppose he calls/raises half the time(assume we're done with the hand if he even calls) and folds half the time.

1.50 to win $4 and he calls = -1.50
1.50 to win $4 and he folds= +$4.00
Net result is +$2.50

So what if he folds only once times and calls/raises two times?

1.50 to win $4.00 and he folds= +4.00
1.50(2 times)to $4.00 and he raises/calls= -$3.00

Net Result is +$1.00


So for this bet size to make it a break even play it doesn't even have to work 1 out of 3 times.