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hand one is NOT a wa/wb situation (split pair on a soaking wet board never is). wa/wb is like AA on a KK2r board. there are so many draws and stuff here. of course that isn't at all to say that you should be bombing turn 'cause it seems like a must check w/o reads.
gotta raise that flop to price out draws and overs. again that phrase "well ahead" on a wet board (not soaking wet though).
anyway, really hard to put villain on a hand with no notes on what he's raised in the past. i mean his PFR isn't outta control so it's really hard to put him on 46 or too many 5x hands. even ATS% would be helpful here to know if this guy's ever heard of position i'm quicker to put broadways and pairs in his range (PF that is).
after the flop knowing how often he cbets is pretty important for ranges post flop. he's had 11 cbet opps so we can have a fair idea of if he can do this with air. the river call seems kinda close to me. i think villain is bluffing here fairly often, though it's hard to tell how often since we don't know if he plays draws aggressively. other than that just about all we beat is TT, 99, maybe A8 and 98s and the likes are a slight possibility. i think it's a fold 'cause there's such a wide range of hands that beat us and like all of them play it this way except for like 33 (even like all of the 5x hands turned a pair + SD)
hand 3 i think is a call, reval. the tough part about this is that we pick up equity on so many turns with our BD draws, but aren't gonna know where you stand.
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