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 Originally Posted by chemist
1)Is it really over 9 outs before it is better to semi- bluff than check?
2)I would also think that this is the mathematics, but that in poker it would also or perhaps more so depend on the other player's characters and ranges, determining their propensity to call or fold.
1) Probably, I could have messed up on something simple though. I didn't check it at all.
2) You should note that all that changed in this example is two variables, the number of outs. Really this is only one variable because the chance we hit and the chance we don't hit are related in that they add up to one. In simple enough scenarios where we can only bet all-in the variables are all laid out for you in this situation. The things you have mentioned account for how often villain stacks off, or how often he folds to a bet on the turn, etc.
People should really post their answers because I've spoke to spoon 1 on 1 before and it's very helpful for your poker game.
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