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[5NL] AKs OOP against UTG 4bet

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  1. #1
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
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    Apr 2012
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cobra_1878 View Post
    [...] the way I see it is you're either ~50/50 or way behind [...]
    A) 50/50 with dead money in the pot is a great gamble.
    B) "way behind" = ~34% equity against KK and ~12% against AA.

    23% against { KK+ }
    35% against { QQ+ }
    38% against { QQ+,AKs }
    40% against [ JJ+,AKs }

    Add in fold equity. Add in the fact that everyone at the table saw you jam with AKs and when you do it with AA,KK, they're more likely to call with PP.
  2. #2
    Quote Originally Posted by MadMojoMonkey View Post
    A) 50/50 with dead money in the pot is a great gamble.
    B) "way behind" = ~34% equity against KK and ~12% against AA.

    23% against { KK+ }
    35% against { QQ+ }
    38% against { QQ+,AKs }
    40% against [ JJ+,AKs }

    Add in fold equity. Add in the fact that everyone at the table saw you jam with AKs and when you do it with AA,KK, they're more likely to call with PP.
    Every situation you listed we are behind, why would we want to put our money in when we are behind? We are almost never ahead when we stack off with AK in any game against any villain.

    The point I was trying to make with the AQ post, is that regs won't stack off with AQ or worse, or at least I have never seen it, so you are always hoping to win a race or you're way behind.

    It just makes no sense to me at all.

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