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[5NL] A7s...blind vs blind...limped pot...line check.

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  1. #1
    No, we already have half a big blind in the pot - that 0.5BB doesn't belong to you any more. You're risking 2.5 BB now to win 1.5BB.

    Find out how often he needs to fold in order for us to automatically profit with a bluff:

    Bet / (Pot + Bet)
    = .13 / (.7 + .13)
    = .65

    So we need him to fold about over 2/3 of the time, and assuming he continues with just 17% as you wrote, that's more than what we need. The important part is not to spew postflop when he calls us with his strong range. Remember that your profits are being made preflop, so there's no need to start trying to take the pot away postflop too often the few times he does continue.

    This doesn't necessarily mean though that you should start raising ATC vs him - you want to exploit him without beating him over the head to let him know that he's being exploited.
  2. #2
    Quote Originally Posted by eugmac View Post
    No, we already have half a big blind in the pot - that 0.5BB doesn't belong to you any more. You're risking 2.5 BB now to win 1.5BB.

    Find out how often he needs to fold in order for us to automatically profit with a bluff:

    Bet / (Pot + Bet)
    = .13 / (.7 + .13)
    = .65

    So we need him to fold about over 2/3 of the time, and assuming he continues with just 17% as you wrote, that's more than what we need. The important part is not to spew postflop when he calls us with his strong range. Remember that your profits are being made preflop, so there's no need to start trying to take the pot away postflop too often the few times he does continue.

    This doesn't necessarily mean though that you should start raising ATC vs him - you want to exploit him without beating him over the head to let him know that he's being exploited.
    I always forget about that bet / ( bet + pot ) formula. Is that only used for working out bluffing equity?

    I understand about not overly exploiting him to make it obvious, I assume that's along the same lines as 3bet bluffing some who steals from button too much.
    Currently grinding live cash games. Life is good.

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