i'll add a bit more of my rationale to this post for clarification to/criticism by cobra.
Originally Posted by rpm
i'd be C/Ring this flop all day when we are this deep. we need to start getting stacks into the pot with a hand this strong. give him the chance to make mistakes w/QQ+.
think i've covered in above post why i like to C/R flop. cliffs: we start building a pot to win stacks, we have more bluffs in our range bombing now vs doing it on turn, and i don't expect many opponents to give us another bet with air on the turn anyway
i'd prefer to lead this turn card than C/R as played
not actually so sure about this one now because as played we basically have to C/R now or OTR if we want to get stacks in. my original rationale was that we get reasonable value from villain's calling range and villain will probably actually only bet a pretty strong range and check beck a lot of hands with reasonable equity vs us (with so much straight potential at this point in the hand). i think i still prefer to lead this card than check, but i'm not so sure. wish we'd C/R'd flop
i also think you are pretty much owning yourself shoving this river.
i just cant see villain making a 100+bb calldown with any worse hands now that this board is so damn scary for anything but straights. we seem to be turning our hand into a bluff. Seems like we're making worse fold and putting 120bb on a plate for him the times he's backed into a straight .
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