[2NL] AQs UTG - Facing flop raise on dry board

[rpm]

If he is semi-bluffing a lot here, or overplaying TP then, yes. But in that case, I'd expect him to fold nothing to a shove so if we're well ahead of his calling range, why give a free card and not get it in?

we can't be sure that he will make the mistake of calling with his 8-out draws, we can't be sure that he will raise/call off a jam with worse value hands that he raises, we want to keep whatever, if any, pure bluffs or weak semi-bluffs (ie gutters w/no overcards) villain may have here in his range.

in a nutshell, i don't think we are called often enough to 3b jam this flop for value, but i think we do well enough against his flop raising range (and our BDFD gives our hand slightly more playability on later streets) to call, despite having a positional disadvantage.