[2NL] A2s in SB

river range blah.
He can get there with something like:
22-88, 34s, 45s, 56s, 67s, A2dd, K2dd, 23dd, 24dd, Acxc, KQcc, QTcc, KTcc, 78cc (i'm limiting the flush draw combos there cos he might fold some on the turn cos paired board plus turn sizing etc)

bet river, villain raises most flushes and all boats - only 66 and 55 make sense for boats. The only 2x hands he can reasonably have are Ad2d, Kd2d, 2d3d, 2d4d. Probably doesn't raise or fold with any of these.

check river, villan bets pretty much everything so calling is obviously going to be profitable as we're calling 60c into $2.60 and ahead more than 25% so profitable after rake.

check-raise river. We're putting in $2.10 to return $5.60 (i'm assuming villain never folds better vs the check-raise) so need to be good about 40% when called to be ahead of breakeven Villain calls all of 22-88, 34s, all 2x, all 65, some 67, all flushes? sound plausible? based on the quote below describing villain then without going to the effort of stove or combo counting it looks like it's ok. More or less than just calling the bet on the river? maybe someone who wants to learn to compare EVs of different actions wants to do that math and stove it and stuff?

Originally Posted by Cobra_1878

I know he didn't like to fold. He couldn't lay down 77 on an all club flop, calling off 3 bets with 2 overs out. Had seen him call another 3 bets with nothing on flop, then TP on turn & river. Had also seen him limp on button with 9Ts and limp/call a 0.10 raise on button with J6s. I had also seen him call a 3bet, OOP, with QTo.