[2NL] 99 in SB...River decision

Villain is 47/28 through 67 hands. He cbet 40% of the time, 2/5, folded to cbets 100% of the time, 7/7.
50% steal from LP, 2/7 in CO, 5/7 on button.

PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: $2.42
UTG: $0.46
MP: $1.29
CO: $1.51
BTN: $7.07
Hero (SB): $2.50

Hero posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has 9 9

fold, fold, CO raises to $0.06, fold, Hero calls $0.05, BB calls $0.04

Flop: ($0.18, 3 players) 3 A A
Hero bets $0.12, fold, CO calls $0.12

Turn: ($0.42, 2 players) 7
Hero bets $0.34, CO calls $0.34

River: ($1.10, 2 players) T
Hero ???

OK, firstly I am not sure whether I should be 3betting pre or not? I don't like playing 99 OOP but I also don't want to bloat a pot when I am in SB with a hand that doesn't play well post-flop. I am also aware that villain is short stacked. In the end, I decide to flat.

I decide to donk the flop for value thinking my 9's are probably good here and charging any potential FD's. Also thought if villain had anything that was beating me, he would put in a raise in which case it's an easy fold.

OTT I decide to bet again as nothing has changed. His second call though makes me feel something isn't right.

OTR I doubt he has hit the 10 but what should I be doing here? Am I betting for value again or am I betting into a hand that has me crushed?

75bb, 27%pfr, 50% steal, 3b-get it in pre

focus on the flop decision before looking at the river decision.

What range do you need to hold to 3bet in this situation vs a guy who's playing 47/28? 99 is certainly ahead of his opening range, likely 60-65%. Did you have idea about his calling and 4bet ranges if you 3bet?

Originally Posted by Cobra_1878

Also thought if villain had anything that was beating me, he would put in a raise in which case it's an easy fold.

Not necessarily, do you think villain is auto-raising TT-KK here?

Originally Posted by daven

75bb, 27%pfr, 50% steal, 3b-get it in pre

focus on the flop decision before looking at the river decision.

Should I not have donked this flop? I didn't want him checking back incase of possible FD's or a free over card on turn? Bad logic?

Originally Posted by seven-deuce

Not necessarily, do you think villain is auto-raising TT-KK here?

I hadn't thought of that tbh, good point.

Originally Posted by Cobra_1878

Should I not have donked this flop? I didn't want him checking back incase of possible FD's or a free over card on turn? Bad logic?.

you have a race to cheap showdown hand here. Don't worry about giving free cards on this flop.

Originally Posted by daven

you have a race to cheap showdown hand here. Don't worry about giving free cards on this flop.

Ah right OK. My thought process along those lines is that I look super weak if I keep checking to him and I don't want to be pushed out of the pot with a hand that is probably ahead on that board.

Originally Posted by Cobra_1878

Ah right OK. My thought process along those lines is that I look super weak if I keep checking to him and I don't want to be pushed out of the pot with a hand that is probably ahead on that board.

ja, thing is that your hand is a lot less likely ahead when he bets into that board. It's hard for you to get much value by betting, check-decide two streets. If it checks through to river you can start to think about value.

I really don't like the donk bet on the flop either since worse isn't going to call, and as it already has been pointed out, better isn't necessarily going to raise on this board either. Check calling is better, since this villain cbets a lot and might bluff at this flop with Kx etc.

Originally Posted by Cobra_1878

...or am I betting into a hand that has me crushed?

Either that or pushing off a missed club draw. Regardless, I applaud your aggression.

Full hand....

PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: $2.42
UTG: $0.46
MP: $1.29
CO: $1.51
BTN: $7.07
Hero (SB): $2.50

Hero posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has 9 9

fold, fold, CO raises to $0.06, fold, Hero calls $0.05, BB calls $0.04

Flop: ($0.18, 3 players) 3 A A
Hero bets $0.12, fold, CO calls $0.12

Turn: ($0.42, 2 players) 7
Hero bets $0.34, CO calls $0.34

River: ($1.10, 2 players) T
Hero bets $0.62, CO raises to $0.99 and is all-in, Hero calls $0.37

CO shows A 3 (Full House, Aces full of Threes) (Pre 30%, Flop 100%, Turn 100%)
Hero shows 9 9 (Two Pair, Aces and Nines) (Pre 70%, Flop 0%, Turn 0%)
CO wins $2.97