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[10NL] JJ B/F or C/F the river?

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  1. #1

    Default [10NL] JJ B/F or C/F the river?

    Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10, $0.02 ante No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players

    SB: $11.20 (112 bb)
    BB: $10 (100 bb)
    UTG+1: $56.72 (567.2 bb)
    UTG+2: $26.81 (268.1 bb)
    MP1: $43.12 (431.2 bb)
    Hero (MP2): $25.72 (257.2 bb)
    MP3: $59.92 (599.2 bb)
    CO: $23.63 (236.3 bb)
    BTN: $26.74 (267.4 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is MP2 with J J
    2 folds, MP1 raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.80, MP3 folds, CO calls $0.80, 3 folds, MP1 calls $0.50

    Flop: ($2.73) 8 3 5 (3 players)
    MP1 checks, Hero bets $1.50, CO calls $1.50, MP1 folds

    Turn: ($5.73) 3 (2 players)
    Hero bets $3.20, CO calls $3.20

    River: ($12.13) 2 (2 players)
    Hero bets $6.70, CO calls $6.70

    Villain is a 26/2, 0 3bet over 120. Also, 26% fold to Cbet.

    Okay so I figure villain has something like 33, 55, 88+, a whole stupid load of FD's, maybe some 67 sometimes, and some silly 8's and 5's. Against this range I have like roughly 48%.

    So, do I B/F or C/F? I think C/C is out of the question as anything I beat would prolly check behind. B/F has its merits in that I can get value from like 99-TT, silly 8s and 5s. He folds most of his straight draws besides 64 which got there but I can't see him having that all that often.

    I guess the real question is do you guys think his range is super weighted towards flushes?

    Also how's the sizings?
  2. #2
    bikes's Avatar
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    i'm not a fan of sizing on every street
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by bikes View Post
    i'm not a fan of sizing on every street
    Probably missing value?
  4. #4
    bikes's Avatar
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    against this particular villian i would make it

    $1.1 pre
    $2.5 flop
    $6.2 turn
    jam river
  5. #5
    So looking through a lot of my hands I miss a shitload of value by not thinking about my sizing and who I`m playing.
  6. #6
    kmind's Avatar
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    bikes summed it up pretty perfectly.

    monday - you understand WHY bike's suggested that, right?

    And yes you do miss a ton of value if you never change bet sizes/focus on villain in hand. Your 5NL stats which were impressive would be A LOT better if you did.

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