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 Originally Posted by Micro2Macro
Yeah the c-bet blows.
I barrelled the turn because I figure he's floating me with almost 100% of his range, and I didn't think he'd call 2 barrells with just broadways or Ax so I could fold out any Ax hand that isn't paired for some fold equity. I also figured I could bluff/ value bet any J, Q, K, or A on the river which gives me about 12-14 outs, since it's likely he doesn't have any of these in his range on the river.
Is ^ line of thinking bad?
I made it $6 on the river because I felt it was the smallest size of bet I could get away with for repping the ace.
I think I hate the flop most, followed by the turn, and I thought the river was alright I guess.
OK, you fold out every ace that doesn't pair or have a gutshot
So A8, A9, AT, AJ, AQ, AK
that's 7x16 = 104 hands
you are also getting called by any PP, any 7x, any 5x, any 3x
ace + gutshot, oesd, other gutshots, backdoor flush draws
I don't even need to count, he has over 200 hand combos on the turn that will see a river
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