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It's basically an exact chop in equity (50.00%) if you put him on { KK+, TT, AKs, AKo } at the river raise. Given the dead money, it's a call.
Depending on what you put him to open UTG+1, there could be { ATs, KTs } in there, which you are crushing.
It's tough to put him on QJ, due to lack of semi-bluffing OTF, or betting for value OTT. If you disagree with this analysis, then QJs is in his river range, too, which drops your equity, obv.
"A little FPSy" makes me want to call this a bit more than the 50% equity, since I assume it means his range is wider than that range.
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