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Nut flush draw facing all in

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  1. #1

    Default Nut flush draw facing all in

    Do I call this flop bet? Didn't really want to raise with the pf raiser behind me. Also, was the preflop call bad?

    MP2 was 59/50/2 over only 22 hands (don't think I had that on my HUD at the time)

    Btn was 10.5/5/1.6 over 57 hands.

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com



    saw flop | saw showdown

    UTG+1 ($9.25)
    MP1 ($9.25)
    MP2 ($35.80)
    MP3 ($29)
    Hero (CO) ($50)
    Button ($49.25)
    SB ($33.90)
    BB ($10)
    UTG ($50.75)



    Preflop: Hero is CO with Q, A
    3 folds, MP2 bets $1.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $1.50, Button raises to $5, 2 folds, MP2 calls $3.50, Hero calls $3.50

    Flop: ($15.75) 6, 6, 10 (3 players)
    MP2 bets $6.50, Hero calls $6.50, Button raises to $44.25 (All-In), 1 fold, Hero ????http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/images/smiles/club.gif[/img] (2 players, 1 all-in)
    Sue me if I play too long....
  2. #2
    i 3 bet vs MP2 and fold to BT 4 bet. i really hate a flat call with AQs in these situations OOP. As played, we have to stack off on this flop with around 40% equity in 3 bet pot.
  3. #3
    oskar's Avatar
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    idk about 3-bet pre. - You're avoiding a squeeze, but it's hard to get value from the hand in a 3-bet pot.

    With some weak-tight players left to act I might just call, but fold to a 3-bet from the button

    As played, EZ call.

    pot odds, dude!
    What are your pot odds, what's your equity, what's your EV?
  4. #4
    mixchange's Avatar
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    Odds of completing the flush on the turn OR river - 1.9:1 against
    pot odds 1.75-1

    if the Ace is a clean out we have odds to call, but yay variance
  5. #5
    Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by mixchange
    Odds of completing the flush on the turn OR river - 1.9:1 against
    pot odds 1.75-1

    if the Ace is a clean out we have odds to call, but yay variance
    just stove it yo

    Board: 6h 6s Ts

    60.139% { QQ+ }
    39.861% { AsQs }

    35.25 in pot
    37.75 raise

    37.75 / 110.75 = 34.1%
  6. #6
    Guest
    its close but he's never bluffing, and you don't quite have the right odds vs TT+, plus you'll be giving up information if you call, so imo fold.
  7. #7
    Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by TwoSmeets
    its close but he's never bluffing, and you don't quite have the right odds vs TT+, plus you'll be giving up information if you call, so imo fold.
    yes he does
    he needs 34% to call, he has 36.8%
  8. #8
    Guest
    I have the pot offering him just better than 1.5:1 and he's about 1:2 to win.
    Or, the pot says he needs 39.4% equity and he has 36.8%.

    So I think I'm right. Also, BU is more likely to play AA, KK, and maybe QQ this way than JJ, which reduces hero's equity a little.
  9. #9
    Guest
    Quote Originally Posted by TwoSmeets
    I have the pot offering him just better than 1.5:1 and he's about 1:2 to win.
    Or, the pot says he needs 39.4% equity and he has 36.8%.

    So I think I'm right. Also, BU is more likely to play AA, KK, and maybe QQ this way than JJ, which reduces hero's equity a little.
    he is calling 37.75 / 110.75 = 34.1%
    also, I don't think he has TT in his 3b range
  10. #10
    Guest
    this site is great!
  11. #11
    fold preflop

    Quote Originally Posted by jeebo1985
    this site is great!
    yeah!

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