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I should probably post something about Ron Paul since Iowa caucus is tomorrow, and I've been paying a lot of attention to Paul lately, but for some reason I haven't posted anything on this board. I'll do just a couple bulletpoints
- I'm 51/49% in favor of somebody in Obama vs Paul. Not sure yet who. It probably should be Paul, but there's always more information to learn.
- Paul's opposition to SOPA alone should be enough to garner my vote
- The foreign wars and drug war are the two worst economic policies of our time. They don't get the press for that problem, but they are. Federal tax dollars are hugely corrupted by the wars, and the drug war so deeply fucks the nation by way of the enormous expense of "criminal" justice and cheap labor gluts from Mexican refugees. Go back in time and eliminate both the foreign and drug wars, and I believe we'd be at full employment today. No joke.
Obama is shit on these issues. Paul is fantastic.
- States rights is good stuff. The majority of governmental corruption is federal. The US has a really shitty dynamic that subsidizes the federal government through local governments and commerce. This is because the federal government is able to cherry pick what they want to be involved in; this is rather unlike how well-functioning governments of other nations operate. An example of this would be education policy. The federal government's education policy is shit. They have no control over how schools operate, that's all a state and local issue, yet they still impose taxation and "incentive" programs. The problem is that this just doesn't work; if the federal government wants to be involved in education they need the kind of policy control that states have, but nobody wants that, I don't even want that. Another example is in the foreign wars being an enormous priority of the federal government. So then contrast your federal tax dollars to war and education; a bunch of it goes to wars that ultimately make the nation poorer, and very little of it goes to education that arguably is ineffective in the first place
Then we have issues like California trying to fix their drug laws, but the fed fuckheads slam the hammer. Progress is almost always localized, then grows outwards. This is how Europe got so much further down the road than US. The whole EU "centralized government and economy" has actually been throwing them back. The EUR is nothing other than a bankster scheme of stealing from the poor EU members
I really want to see a push towards decreasing the power of the feds while increasing the power of the states
- There is an argument to be made that Obama is scum due to his position on indefinite detentions. Paul is the only guy who actually doesn't want to rape civil liberties.
- A lot of the negatives about Paul are blown out of proportion. The gold standard for example, it's not happening, and he won't even try to make it happen. His position on social programs like Social Security aren't as bad as you'd think. Personally, I feel like SS and Medicare should possibly be set on a path to be dictated by the states. Over the long run, this would actually work better because the states would be forced to make things work due to a lot of constraints and responsibilities they have that the federal government doesn't. And when one state makes good policy, it spreads. A big reason US has problems with this is because we're sooooooo focused on national politics where entirely different cultures are being told they have to get along. Governance doesn't work well when you tell rednecks that they have to get along with yankees. A lot about liberalism and conservatism are the same, just artificial divides have been created that make people think we're so much different
I really hope Paul wins Iowa, but he probably won't. Iowa always goes for the evangelical, and Santorum is rising high at the right time just like all the other not-Romneys. Paul does have a strong base of support in Iowa, but Romney is the guy that anybody focused on electability will look at, and he's got some establishment backing that will help him a bit on turnout to the polls
I want to see enough evangelicals go to Paul, then Romney gets his normal 25%, while the others split up the other evangelicals, so that Paul wins Iowa. Then Romney crushes NH, then somehow SC and Florida see the demise of everybody else, then we get a Romney/Paul hu match, and the evangelicals finally say they're for Paul. Then the general election campaign will involve so much of the progressive policy that Obama refuses to endorse. Obama vs Paul would be so good for shifting the national dialogue to things that really need fixing. Also it would be a huge fuck you to the GOP establishment and corporate establishment, who pretty much hate Paul. It'll be so damn hard for Paul to win the GOP though, especially after Fox decides to endorse Romney. Not sure why they haven't already, probably because they want one of the not-Romneys. But if their hand is forced, they will back Romney then fight full bore against Paul, which will basically kill Paul since what Fox says is what the GOP base believes
But then on the flip side, Paul will run as an independent, then we're in for some craziness. Chances are very low that he could win, but we don't yet know the effect of disenfranchised liberals. I'm the world's biggest liberal, and I'm probably would support Paul over Obama, as an example. But Paul running third party would definitely kill Romney's chances
Then onto 2016 when Obama is no longer incumbent, and the GOP favorite, Christ Christie, decides to run. My hope is that my gf Elizabeth Warren crushes the next four years in what's going to become her Mass Senate seat, then runs for president in 2016, and then we get a strong, savvy, charismatic, female real progressive who would crush any GOPer on the planet
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