My head hurts now. I was convinced it was gator but damn, his last few posts are screaming villager
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My head hurts now. I was convinced it was gator but damn, his last few posts are screaming villager
Wuf can't be the poisoned. I think a power role claims 100% of the time while poisoned, which he did not
Poisoner*
I don't think wuf has any knees
Oh awesome it seems that I have been peeked.
I'm fine with a lynch wuf
not my game, indeed. ;)
I do think the poisoner needs to out today just to make sure he lives and I think it is down to either Wuf or Rascal.
rescind until poisoner outs
Everybody needs to rescind until the poisoner outs. If the poisoner doesn't out lynch me.
how?
gator is one of the best at posting v-like as a wolf fyi. the clues are in other things, like his total crap argument for rascal. go back and look at it. it's not even an argument. he constructed no case. it was bunch of non sequitur. gator is a much better hunter than that, which means he's either the wolf or not on his a-game (or b-game)
on all of ftr, gator is the player who concedes the latest. i *think* he did it in a role madness game where it was totally locked up and he had faked as some really wacky special (but i dont recall). another time he didn't even "concede" after he died and his name was red. he typically goes to his dying breath. only keybored out-muscles him in that regard.
Wine In Front Of Me
It means when you're overthinking a scenario to the point of vacillating between two contrary conclusions.
BTW: game is locked. If you're the poisoner, you can safely out and lock it up 100%. The analysis to as much has been done by many in thread, so go over it and then claim.
Wuf, are you the poisoner? If so, please out.
That game was not locked up at that time, IIRC. It was World War Werewolf, and I think it was the only game I've ever been a PR.
Yes, his claim was something like, "I am the leader of all the things. If I die, then the village loses by default." Except a lot better than that, but basically the same sentiment.
http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...195297-24.html
Link for above referenced game
I was talking about this game and this fake claim.
Here it is - I describe the role in post 1003 and it took through post 1217 to lynch me. Good times, good times.
http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...196348-14.html
Wuf isn't claiming poisoner so I bet he is the last wolf.
double check my math. blue is cv, red is wolf, purple is poisoner, green is poisoned target.
SCENARIO 1
assuming nom in dark and hits poisoner. assuming mmm is poisoner
d4 players
Beck Novo
Hifi
SuperMonkeyFace
lilrascal
Luco
MadMojoMonkey
OngBonga
Wufwugy
GatorJH
d4n4 actions
lynch wuf
poison luco
peek rascal
nom mmm
d5 players
Beck Novo
Hifi
SuperMonkeyFace
lilrascal
Luco poisoned
OngBonga
GatorJH
d5n5 actions
lynch ong
luco succumbed
nom beck
d6 players
Hifi
SuperMonkeyFace
lilrascal
GatorJH
lynch gator ftwwwwwww!
**** SCENARIO 1 PART 2: assume beck peeks the nommed target accidentally and rascal is not cv ****
d6n6 actions
lynch rascal
nom hifi
d7 players
SuperMonkeyFace
GatorJH
wolfy wolf gator wiiiiiiiinns!
SCENARIO 2
assuming beck nom. assuming poisoner is mmm and nommed next
d4 players
Beck Novo
Hifi
SuperMonkeyFace
lilrascal
Luco
MadMojoMonkey
OngBonga
Wufwugy
GatorJH
d4n4 actions
lynch wuf
poison rascal
nom beck
d5 players
Hifi
SuperMonkeyFace
lilrascal poisoned
Luco
MadMojoMonkey
OngBonga
GatorJH
d5n5 actions
luco lynched
rascal succumed
ong poisoned
mmm nommed
d6 players
Hifi
SuperMonkeyFace
OngBonga poisoned
GatorJH
lynch gator ftwwwwwwwww!
if these are correct. the only way it is not locked up is if the seer poisoner and wolf hit the same target. so if this is correct, it means the poisoner needs to out and needs to confirm with beck which different targets they are going to hit
how do these change if the wolf noms a poisoned target?
off top of head im assuming if wolf hits poisoned target it's more than locked in for v win
so why hasnt the wolf conceded
unless there's a way for the wolf to nom smf tonight and that be better for him. im not sure how that would be the case
well whatever im not going to draw this out, even if it means there is some small chance it isn't locked up. at least four of you seem to think it's locked, and my own analysis of it is that it's locked, so here it is
me poisoner
i suspect the last wolf was extremely close to figuring that out by now
HI,
Spoiler:I'm Wufwugy.
in case you wanna know, here's my write up for my play
i poisoned siu. he was slanking and everybody skipped over him for gizmo for d1 lynch.
batm for the same slanking reasons. im not much of a soulreader, but i do think it's important for vigs to weed out the players most untethered (and subsequently hardest to read and biggest endgame liabilities).
smf for the "most untethered" reasons. plus his soft hard soft claim was so weird that it couldnt have come from a seer and was very unlikely to have come from a vanilla. i could see what he did as a wolf plus an iso of him looked worse than gator's. mainly i just didnt wanna hit the seer, and i thought he was never seer so it was fine.
my play strategy was to slip inside that tiny box where you're unlynchable as well as unnommable. so i had to play a little carelessly and rustle some jimmies, while also getting cleared in doing so. wolves have a really hard time nomming players they think the village is not happy with, but i have a history of being able to get cleared by the village by making them unhappy so i figured i could do it.
my self bold was me trying to say "if you really want me dead then you'll get your wish", becuase i thought it was a powerful way to make villagers not want to lynch me and wolves not want to nom me
Awesome.
Any CCs?
(Please CC.)
Lynch Gator
Gator there's 18 hours left and no MAJ in force, props to you if you wanna play it out but you've already more than earned your arooo
PoE
Gator, MMM, lilrascal, Luco, Ong
One today, two tomorrow, two the final day.
@baud, if the final wolf doesn't concede, can we play like hour long days/nights?
Withholding vote to avoid maj
Yeah I'm pleased that noone had me pegged after d2, but we fucked up with boog's claim. If he holds his backup claim for a day, we win. So close, but i crunched the numbers a day too late.
wp village.
wolf and dead threads?
fwiw it's much easier to play wolf when everyone thinks you're a villager. I pretty much convinced myself I was a villager, I had to stop myself from pointing out the poisoner needs to out today!
Don't forget drew blasting the only wolf having any serious chance of winning.
I don't think I'm ever getting village cred again after this game.
luco I was convinced you were seer, but I had the luxury of taking out the confirmed special last night, and waiting for a claim.
wuf hitting SMF was a) bad because it should've been obvious he was healer or last wolf, a lost cause for him anyway, b) offered me a lifeline because it kept gator vanilla in the game (I knew he was vanilla, our only peek was bigred), and c) told me that wuf was poisoner because I know how much he hates following village stratgey when special.
I'd probably have concede much earlier had wuf posioned gator.
The seer is this game is perfect, fwiw. That a seer can be this deep and still the game isn't always locked is outstanding.
In all honesty, Ong, I would've guessed you were the last wolf last of any of the players left in the PoE.
Mostly based upon your early interactions with BID.
wasnt the village strategy to poison smf if boog flipped w?
it isnt that i dont like village strategy on specials, but i dont read them. things are better without specials talk because the natural state is for villagers to be adept at showing their vanillaness when discussing specials and for specials to have a hard time of keeping from giving out tells when talking specials