Here's where I'm at...
Wolf equity
Baudib 77%
Wufwugy 44%
Hoopy 35%
Luco 35%
Boog 31%
JKDS 28%
Bid 27%
Rong 22%
Rascal 15%
Gabe 11%
Rilla 5%
Printable View
Here's where I'm at...
Wolf equity
Baudib 77%
Wufwugy 44%
Hoopy 35%
Luco 35%
Boog 31%
JKDS 28%
Bid 27%
Rong 22%
Rascal 15%
Gabe 11%
Rilla 5%
Ong you already called me a villager. In your role as wolf spokesman you'll have to go back and confer with your partners for your next line, this isn't working.
Also, have you seen the rest of this group? BID could come in claiming wolf in his first post and only be like the 7th wfiest player here.
And Boog, you're the one who actually says D1 matters. Multiple soft defenses of you have been noted.
Rong seems like a villager in his own way.
Ong, in case you're actually not playing dumb... I said Boog was rand/slightly wolfy. That lined up perfectly with putting him at 31% equity ( compared to totally rand 27%). Part of this is because Rilla himself skews the numbers a ton with his obvious villager role. But in any case it is rand or barely above rand and totally not worth talking.
of course you already know this and are using it to avoid talking about more relevant subjects such as Hoopy, Luco and Wuf.
Also, Boog has, you know, my made any effort to appear like a villager.
Not made*
Rilla: Hope your thought experiments have proven fruitful. Now get in here and dance with Ong.
We are not lynching Gabe.
How are you all so sure rilla is s villager. Do you think he's that had a wolf?
S = a.
I could switch Rong and Rascal in my list in deference to Gabe's read.
baudib I just wasn't going to let you ignore me.
Yeah you seem like a villager to me. But you can be a high content wolf, no sweat. I have no intention of actually lynching you today. I don't give a crap if you think I'm a wolf or not, what I do care about is that you're not allowed to brush off questions, no matter how trivial they might seem.
Why are hoopy luco and wuf the relevant subjects? Why not boog baudib ong? I'll have my own opinions about what i find interesting, tyvm.
I slightly lean villager for rong because of his thoughts & process mirroring mine.
Unofficial count.
gabe - 2
JKDS, Hoopy, rascal, baudib - 1
Who's voting for gabe? Let's lynch one of those.
Rilla is not an excellent wolf anywhere. He actually thinks being a good wolf makes him a worse villager.
ong, you're doing a remarkable job of talking about things everyone already knows + things that matter not one whit.
In fact that logic really sucks. You're saying he shite at the game. Of he can't wolf he can't play. He'd be auto day one lynch if he's fantastic as a villager and shite as a wolf. I don't ever remember rilla being bad at anything. Although admittedly I don't remember him being a wolf at all.
Rilla is a villager (not a peek). Ez parts of the game are Ez.
Let's move on to lunching Wuf or Hoopy.
I meant nk not lynch.
Also we never auto lynch gator because he's a great villager as well as a wolf. Towing rilla every time he plays remotely like himself seems an awful strategy.
baudib you're doing an excellent job of sapping my enthusiasm already.
rilla is capable of wolfing. He might not have proven it to you, but there were games that happened before you existed.
The village auto lynched Gator out of paranoia in the game Rilla modded last year.
Rilla was a really obvious NK n2 of the Gold Rush game and should have been the angel target except Gabe asked for it.
rilla was laughably awful as a wolf in the ghost angel game.
hes a villager here.
move on
Are you talking about the game Rilla conceded as the last wolf (courtiebee game)? Don't act as if I don't remember details of games better than peoe who actually played in them.
You're talking about inane things to me, like me talking about inane things. Inane is a point of view, it's an opinion. What's inane to you might not be to me, and vice versa.
My vote is still a joke. I'll change it in due course.
I've seen rilla win as wolf in my early days, I'm sure of it. There were also a ton of games before me where rilla was involved. He's vastly experienced. If you think you can just town him based on his enthusiasm, you're not showing him nearly the respect he deserves.
That's an amazing number of posts Ong had made that have nothing to do with the current game state.
Hoopy's "my thoughts mirror Rong's" (said no one ever) was also not impressive.
Lynch OngBonga. I'm probably not moving.
His posts are severely inconsistent. He says baud is likely a villager, bolds him, then fucks up and puts his wolf equity at over 70%. OngBonga done slipped.
lol boog actually took my 77% baudib post seriously
all I did was copy/pasta baudib's post and changed it slightly.
look, it's d1, and last game all d1 all I did was spew at baudib who ended up being a villager. So forgive me if I'm a little laid back this d1 compared to my usual spaz.
rescind
I'll stop dicking about with my vote from here, fair enough on that.
That was a nice series of posts by Boog. have ~14 villager points for that
btw, I just realized that Rilla's wolfing abilities are LITERALLY the last thing I'm concerned about this game. I'm going to just completely ignore any future posts on this subject and consider it wolfy obfuscation barring major developments.
Yeah, I'm not a wolf. lynch ongbonga
I'll try not to be as grating. We need to work together and find consensus, not run around like a bunch of screaming maniacs.
i'm literally never getting lynched this game cuz I have a get out of jail free card, just bear with me a bit for a couple days and we'll blow this bish wide open.
I never actually suggested that you are rilla.
small note for future reference: Rong talking about Rilla being a D1 lynch when he meant to say "nom" is potentially interesting.
nothing ong has done stands out as wolfy, to me. of course he is unpredictable but his actions havent betrayed anything. if it were a more neutral poster it would be different but ong gonna ong
i agree that rilla has a nice village lean and disagree that baudib does. something about baudib being so forceful on issues doesnt sit right. especially when i disagree with him on things he states as fact. i'm not making a case for baudib here, im just saying im not trusting him. i'm sure playing 10k post werewolf games has improved his ability to manipulate and deceive while posting heavy volume
hoopy is dangerous when we let him stay quiet. wuf isnt normal. rascal said something fishy and is now MIA. others i havent addressed havent done anything out of line yet... but im waiting
I've actually yet to be a wolf in a 10K WW game.
It's improved my villager game immensely (for instance, I learned to stop blindly tunneling people on hero reads).
Also I'm virtually unlynchable as a villager these days.
the mashes go like this every time: I get a couple votes (in a 50-player pool) early on D1 and there's some controversy over it and by mid-D1 (hours) I'm an obvious villager and basically never get wagoned the rest of the game.
predict that wuf will say something to the effect of "you dudes say I'm not normal every game." But yes, I expect villa Wuf to approach the Gabe thing totally differently than he did.
Well, gabe, you and I aren't looking at the same game.
{a500lbgorilla, BankItDrew, baudib, BooG690, gabe, Hoopy, JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga, rong, wufwugy}
{BankItDrew, baudib, BooG690, gabe, Hoopy, JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga, rong, wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,BooG690, gabe, Hoopy, JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga, rong, wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,BooG690, gabe,JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga, rong, wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,BooG690, gabe,JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga,wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,gabe,JKDS, lilrascal, Luco, OngBonga,wufwugy}
{BankItDrew,gabe,JKDS,Luco, OngBonga,wufwugy}
Leap of faith
{gabe,Luco, OngBonga}
village 3-1 favorite
rilla we looking at same game but you are making the wrong leaps. i appreciate you posting your order of elimination though
There's a bit of catching up for me to do today. I've skimmed the thread, but, I'll just start where I left off.
The reason that I asked if anyone was interested in the vote graphs is someone (I don't remember who and didn't go back to find it) gave grief to MMM for posting the vote graphs for EOD saying it was just busy work. I find them useful and I'm willing to share and since MMM isn't playing this game, I volunteer to step up and provide that info.
About my making a point of it: the ONLY other game that I've ever posted vote graphs is the Champions game on POG. I have done other charts here for my reads, but I've never posted those graphs before.
Why do you say you're clear? Luco is liking you as villager, not clearing you?
With regards to the bold in the quote above. I assume you're talking about the post I just quoted.
Why would you be asking for an angel this early in the game? That just makes on sense from a village perspective.
Throwing out ong because he hasn't done anything wolfy while he also hasn't done anything villagery seems like picking sides to me. Not trusting buad who, and I may be a bit biased because he's brought it down on me, clearly knows how to think and it doing it unencumbered, goes left where I would go right. Add in a scattershot of panic pointed across the Hoopies, wufwugies, and rascals of the world. well, that's fair and it is where I leap. Can't tell you why, but I don't think you'll find a wolf in the three.
Yeah, try to keep the wolves between the brackets. It's a fun game. You should try it out.
Good point here by Baud. I didn't realize it until he pointed it out. Gabe does come after me every game. I'm guessing it's because he thinks I'm an easy mislynch.
Also, as I pointed out in my earlier post, I found it odd that Gabe's asking for angel protection this early. I can't think of a good reason for a villa to do that at this point in the game, but a wolf could be doing it to PR hunt.
Um... I want to lynch ong.
Let me put it this way. Ong is a iron-nosed puzzle solver who's taken no interest in the puzzle at hand.
When I first read this, I misread it. But assuming you're villa, from a villa POV everyone is infinitely more likely to be a wolf than you are. So, why the push on Baud and not everyone else?
I work things a different way. I start with everyone as neutral and based on interactions they start to move to be more likely villa or more likely wolf.
Someone hold up the rong post about A being A and B being B etc against lilrascal who's always like, "Why are you doing these things that you do?"
New blood. So fresh.
it would be very newb of me to go after rascal if i was a wolf this game, considering how 2 of the last 3 games as a wolf i tried to get villagerrascal lynched. i was not wrong to go after him then imo
anyone want to entertain idea of rilla studying how to be a convincing wolf? he comes up with a new visual aide {} which is nice but the village logic in it is lacking. how is hoopy your 3rd removal? he plays the same shielded style every game. its even easier to do as a wolf than as a villager. hes DEFINITELY above the 27% mark
It was meeeeee
http://media.giphy.com/media/7sN7ushB3hDpe/giphy.gif
I was right tho...
Fair enough on your first paragraph, but I still don't get asking for the angel on the 22nd post of the game. It didn't appear to be in the flow of the game at all. You had no reason at that point to be worried about needing to be angeled.
So why ask? I'm legit interested.
This is what I was referring to yesterday.
No, it isn't reasonable. I can't even tell what Gabe thinks he did that he claimed clears himself (because he said somebody's wolfy???). Nobody gets to clear themselves on post #1, him pointing it out nullifies it anyways. I have no idea what Gabe is talking about.
After I pointed this out yesterday, here comes Baud
Rilla never explained his bold for Gabe. Baud claims he thinks Rilla's bold was not serious. I explained my bold for Gabe, and Baud thinks I'm being opportunistic and ignores that I gave reason. If he thinks a lack of a reason for a bold is good to use on me, then he would also think that for Rilla, but he doesn't. He thinks Rilla is a villager because he assumes his lack of knowledge of Rilla's play is good enough to use a simplistic heuristic to evaluate Rilla.
So here we have Gabe saying things that make no sense, then Baud backing him up. Then when I point that out, Baud thinks I'm a wolf, for a reason that contradicts his view that Rilla is not a wolf in the same situation.
My hours are different than everybody else. I'm always gone for 16-20 hour stretches. I would expect you to know this since I have stated it many times.
I think I'm sticking with Gabe because I think his first two posts are precisely what wolfgabe would love to do. I think Baud is a good wolf candidate, but I also think he runs with things too quickly, so as a villager he ends up saying all sorts of head-scratchers.
i understand your view but i have the benefit of knowing i posted that as a villager.
i asked the angel because in that moment i thought other players would tend to think i was very likely a villager, thus making me a good target to eat. i didnt demand the angel protect me, i just wanted to make it clear they should be thinking about. other players in the game dont always use logical tactics so i thought it was beneficial to post it, and i didnt see harm in doing so
before you make a judgement based on it, consider that if i was a wolf, i would also have no reason to ask for the angel. and if i was a wolf, i would be much more guarded in how i come across. thus im more likely to be a villager than a wolf based off of that post
ooooooooooh that's what you meant. somebody could have fucking told me.
your point is actually sensible, but it's a problem when you make the point. you could very easily just prep it. granted that's a bit less likely than the silly logic i thought you were originally using. guess that nullifies most of what i just posted.
rescind gubu
wuf, i'm unlikely a wolf because of my day 1 posts. i tend not to care what happens on day 1, but this time i saw something so i pointed it out. holding that against me is preposterous. you are incentivizing me to not post in the future on day 1 even when what i say, when taken at face value (regardless of my role), helps the village. D U C Y ??? my initial post was just stating an observation, that anyone, despite their role bias, can see is an interesting point! to push for me to die now is really -ev
the latest bit of evidence to clear me is that wuf is going after me, and he has never been right on day 1 !! yay. vote opposite wuf 2015
the above post i made before seeing jkds and wuf's most recent posts
I'm not making a judgement on it, I'm trying to understand your thought processes. I disagree that you asking for it makes you more likely to be a villager, especially when it stands out the way it does.
From my POV, it seems more wolfy than villagery. As a villager, I wouldn't ask for it unless I felt it was in the best interest of the village to save me over another villager. As a wolf, it could be used to hunt for the villa PR's depending on possible responses to that post.
let me adjust your POV :)
you seem to think it was wolfy because its strange. but you need to consider that i know it looks out of the ordinary. also consider that as a wolf i'm very aware on how i come across, and in general as a wolf i do not try and stick out in anyway. combine these things and its very unlikely that i would post at the angel like this.
also in my 10 years of playing werewolf, i dont go after specials in this type of way. i'll save you the time so you dont have to look it up. but rooting out specials is not ever taken into account when i make a post. so my angel post should be discounted as wolfy evidence because of this
Gabe, Ong has been OBJECTIVELY wolfy in numerous ways. Oh let us count the ways:
1. His strongest game-related stance so far has been that you, me and Rilla are villagers. Despite this, he's been working actively to muddy the waters by voting me (twice) and arguing at length about the strength of Rilla's wolf game. This is not only directly contradictory to what his actual words are ("X is a villager, lynch X") I can show you many times in past games where Ong talks about Rilla, and it's usually something along the lines of "Rilla is a great wolf hunter and an average wolf at best, I'm not worried about him."
2. Luco-Hoopy-Wuf...if these three aren't in your top 4 wolf candidates right now I don't know what to tell you. I think you agree. Ong has been strangely silent about all of them.
3. For instance, Ong spent more time splitting the hairs between "totally null" and "rand (27%) to slightly (31%) wolfy" than talking about any wolf candidates.
Ong is reminding me a lot of that hotshots game we played around New Year's where I just straight trolled everyone and tried to brush it off as joking. I was a wolf.
I don't buy any of the "I couldn't do this as a wolf" stuff, but I'' buy the "I'm not doing it as a wolf now" stuff.
Based on reading some past wolf chats, it's actually true that Gabe doesn't spend much time thinking about hunting specials as a wolf.
I agree with you that it doesn't make you wolfy. What I said was to your response that it made you more likely villa.
You're still in my neutral pile, but I'm trying to understand your thought process here so that I can try and get a read on you and if you're villa clear you so I concentrate on finding wolves.
rilla my lack of enthusiasm is down to a number of factors, including IRL (just got back from festival, playing lots of poker), last game's d1 (where I spewed at baudib villager), and the fact that I've already been called a lock wolf from him, you're on my case... I don't want to dominate d1. I just want to coast until tomorrow. So, kindly, piss off.
I did. Ong-asm.
I'm ok with leaving Ong for now. Gabe seems interested deeply in Wuf and I think we can all find common ground there.
I'm also fine with a re-leap of faith and a wuf lynch.