$25nl - What's your opinion on 3-barrelling here BvB

Villain is about 15/10ish so far though small sample.
He's also playing multiple tables.

River looked great to bluff, so I went for it. Thoughts?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (7 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) ($25.10)
BB ($26.40)
UTG ($5)
MP1 ($55.30)
MP2 ($25)
CO ($8.20)
Button ($15)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Khttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, Qhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif
5 folds, Hero bets $1, BB calls $0.75

Flop: ($2) 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $1.50, BB calls $1.50

Turn: ($5) 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $3, BB calls $3

River: ($11) Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $6

I'd be showing up as nitty on his HUD so far fwiw

I don't mind the river but I don't like the turn

Quote:

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Originally Posted by bigspenda73

I don't mind the river but I don't like the turn

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this. i don't think we're scaring away a very large portion of his range (which is predominantly overpairs and sevens) with this bet

I don't like 4x steal from the sb. You're oop, and a smaller bet usually takes it. I generally don't steal for more then 3-3.5x, and lately I've been just minraising from the sb. lots of multi tablers use auto fold, and I don't think your fold equity is diminished by a lot...

That's close to the worst flop to c-bet. Steal stats are way more important than 15/10 here btw... Vpip/pfr doesn't really apply here, unless it's 80/3 or something. I wouldn't expect Ax, 4x, 6x or any pp to fold that flop, and a fair amount of time he'll just float you with xx, because even xx has at least 6 outs to top pair here, but not enough that you could bet KQ high for value either.

Turn is a very bad card to barrel. You're repping such a narrow range, when he knows how wide your range is pf.
On the river - if you had checked the flop, or c-bet the flop and checked the turn, then it would be a great card to bluff... but you did all you could to rep an overpair... and even though the A is really a blank now, I think it makes your line look even more bluffy because a lot of people would go into c/c mode now with 99 or TT - which makes no sense, but it's a common line.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by bigspenda73

I don't mind the river but I don't like the turn

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This, except Id make the river $7.50 - $8.

Villain (SB) ($25.10)
Hero ($26.40)
UTG ($5)
MP1 ($55.30)
MP2 ($25)
CO ($8.20)
Button ($15)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, 6http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif
5 folds, SB bets $1, Hero calls $0.75

Flop: ($2) 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)
SB bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50

Turn: ($5) 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)
SB bets $3, Hero calls $3

River: ($11) Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif (2 players)
SB bets $6 Hero ?

Yeah the c-bet blows.

I barrelled the turn because I figure he's floating me with almost 100% of his range, and I didn't think he'd call 2 barrells with just broadways or Ax so I could fold out any Ax hand that isn't paired for some fold equity. I also figured I could bluff/value bet any J, Q, K, or A on the river which gives me about 12-14 outs, since it's likely he doesn't have any of these in his range on the river.

Is ^ line of thinking bad?

I made it $6 on the river because I felt it was the smallest size of bet I could get away with for repping the ace.

I think I hate the flop most, followed by the turn, and I thought the river was alright I guess.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Micro2Macro

Yeah the c-bet blows.

I barrelled the turn because I figure he's floating me with almost 100% of his range, and I didn't think he'd call 2 barrells with just broadways or Ax so I could fold out any Ax hand that isn't paired for some fold equity. I also figured I could bluff/value bet any J, Q, K, or A on the river which gives me about 12-14 outs, since it's likely he doesn't have any of these in his range on the river.

Is ^ line of thinking bad?

I made it $6 on the river because I felt it was the smallest size of bet I could get away with for repping the ace.

I think I hate the flop most, followed by the turn, and I thought the river was alright I guess.

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OK, you fold out every ace that doesn't pair or have a gutshot
So A8, A9, AT, AJ, AQ, AK
that's 7x16 = 104 hands
you are also getting called by any PP, any 7x, any 5x, any 3x
ace + gutshot, oesd, other gutshots, backdoor flush draws
I don't even need to count, he has over 200 hand combos on the turn that will see a river