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  1. #76
    Luco!

    Hi
  2. #77
    Last game I shot a lock clear villager hbu
  3. #78
    Quote Originally Posted by monstrman View Post
    Last game I shot a lock clear villager hbu
    I haven't played a game anywhere since May.

    I still get warm fuzzies thinking about our endgame last november
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  4. #79
    Quote Originally Posted by monstrman View Post
    Last game I shot a lock clear villager hbu
    Hey ong, remember that game where keith was almost lock clear and you dayvigged him? You were wolfing and somehow managed to talk us out of lynching you for it. Good times
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  5. #80
    I was a villager

    Bad times
  6. #81
    Lowest low of my career since I started playing
  7. #82
    Quote Originally Posted by monstrman View Post
    Lowest low of my career since I started playing
    Don't worry bud, I'm sure you'll go lower some day
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  8. #83
    Quote Originally Posted by Luco View Post
    Hey ong, remember that game where keith was almost lock clear and you dayvigged him? You were wolfing and somehow managed to talk us out of lynching you for it. Good times
    As if a wolf would admit to shooting a villager.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  9. #84
    Why are benny and baudib flirting with each other instead of killing either oskar or dwarfman? If we lynch someone who's contributing on d1 when there are people who haven't posted, I'm going to randomise my votes from d2 onwards.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  10. #85
    Voting at random sounds pro wolf too

    But so does the first option
  11. #86
    It's only pro-wolf if I pretend to randomise while actually not randomising. You'd never know.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  12. #87
    Quote Originally Posted by monstrman View Post
    I always thought thunderdoming was pro wolf
    What is thunderdoming?

    Btw I stick with my vote since I'm going out and likely won't be able to browse FTR again before the day ends. Oskar can still show up but dwarfman's last visit to FTR was even before I signed up to the game so he isn't aware the game started and we have no way to know his allegiance. It's also a matter of principle that I remember from older games.

    And Benny said that we are under too much time pressure to do this but I don't agree with that. We need to bink at least one wolf in our next four lynches, which is similar to games with more players which will have more wolves. The games are designed to always be proportionally balanced. Lynching active villages D1 that we can go back to later and check their post history makes no tactical sense in my opinion.
  13. #88
    Quote Originally Posted by jackvance
    We need to bink at least one wolf in our next four lynches
    Jack pretending to forget that wolves kill someone during the night.

    If we lynch two villagers in a row, and the wolves get a clean kill both nights, we can afford no more mistakes. Jack knows this, he's perfectly capable of crunching the numbers.

    This is why today we do need to kill one of the two inactives. If both of them remain tomorrow, it's a problem.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  14. #89
    It has to be said, I really think Jack is a wolf. Normally I'd be pumping for his lynch, but this is the first game in forever. Even if he's a wolf, I want him to stick around for a day or two. And I'm also aware of my own failings. I've had plenty of d1 reads in the past that I've been hugely confident in, and been shown to be wrong. I'm not as good a villager as I am a wolf. If we lynch Jack today and he's a villager, that's a disaster. So we should definitely not be lynching him today.

    But he's easily the wolfiest amongst us. He's pretty much completely ignored me, saying only I'm too active to be a wolf, which is ridiculous coming from someone who's played with me a lot. I can definitely see a wolf Jack trying to avoid a d1 shit slinging contest with me, while if he's a villager I'd expect him to feel obliged to defend himself a little more.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  15. #90
    Quote Originally Posted by jackvance View Post
    What is thunderdoming?
    Thunderdoming is engaging in 1v1 fights, specifically where voting anyone else is actively discouraged by the participants - "it's him or me guys"

    I love a good thunderdome as long as I'm in it. They're annoying if it's two other people squawking at each other
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  16. #91
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    Lynch Benny for having a low threshold for recognizing irony.
    That would be a high threshold then, wouldn't it?

    Rescind baudib because wolves would be smoother than that.
  17. #92
    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    This is why today we do need to kill one of the two inactives. If both of them remain tomorrow, it's a problem.
    It is, but there's also the modkill possibility. Dwarfman probably isn't coming back - hasn't been on since Aug 8. Oskar might. He's been on the board but it is hard to notice PMs. So, this might be a tactic for him but we might get some info out of him shortly or he'll be modkilled. MMM might rid us of the problem of both of them (I've asked) within a couple of nights. It's unlikely we get any good info on either of them today.

    But if we lynch an active, we will get lots of points of cross-referencing and info. I like a Jack lynch.
  18. #93
    If we are going to do an inactive though, it should be oskar.

    If Dwarfman is a wolf, that's great for the village. He won't be nomming anyone.
  19. #94
    Quote Originally Posted by jackvance View Post
    And Benny said that we are under too much time pressure to do this but I don't agree with that ... The games are designed to always be proportionally balanced. Lynching active villages D1 that we can go back to later and check their post history makes no tactical sense in my opinion.
    Nah. More people means more days to collect information to cross reference and use, more direct questions and accusations that people respond to. More screw ups. The ratio of scum to village might be the same but the game isn't.

    Poker analogy - this is a turbo. You don't have a lot of hands to fool around with and you'll be pushing AI before long.
  20. #95
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
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    MOD NOTE:

    I will post my intention concerning the absent players before EOD.

    I will try to do so in a timely manner, but I have to get to work and try to solve this while there.

    If I don't come up with a solution fast enough, I may extend D1 to ensure everyone has had a chance to catch up with the changing game and change their votes if they desire.

    I'm not currently committing to mod-killing these players, but that is the most likely outcome. Unless they post today, it's more harm to leave non-posting players in the game than to mod-kill them and try to bandaid the rules.

    If that happens, I will need to rebalance the game. Going from 9 players at the start of D1 to 5 players at the start of D2 is not what the game format is designed for.



    I welcome any feedback or suggestions.
    If you have any thoughts or suggestions for this, please send me a PM to preserve the integrity of this game thread and to preserve your anonymity concerning what might be a good solution.
    You can find any pattern you want to any level of precision you want, if you're prepared to ignore enough data.
  21. #96
    'Sup nerds. I'm a replacement for dwarfman.

    As a new member, I might be limited to 10 posts today, so I'll try to make them count.

    Hopefully, the mod will confirm my identity quickly.
  22. #97
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
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    MOD NOTE:
    We have a substitute player for dwarfman3.

    Please welcome Spacecamp from the Mafia Universe website.



    DWARFMAN3 IS MOD-KILLED.


    Please stay tuned for more info as we approach EOD.


    I affirm that Spacecamp is a new member and will almost certainly have to deal with post count restrictions from the FTR site.
    Please accommodate this limit (I believe to 10 posts per IRL day) for the immediate future.
    You can find any pattern you want to any level of precision you want, if you're prepared to ignore enough data.
  23. #98
    Hey Spacecamp.

    Do dwarfman's votes count againt Spacecamp? Because at the moment, dwarfman was the pending lynch.
  24. #99
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
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    I have reached out to oskar via a personal email. Due to him being an FTR reg, I want to give him at least an hour or two to respond.
    If not, then I will mod-kill oskar.


    As of now, EOD1 is still happening on schedule, in just over 6 hours time.
    You can find any pattern you want to any level of precision you want, if you're prepared to ignore enough data.
  25. #100
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
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    /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
    ***** Vote Count *****
    \/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/

    on the block | # votes | who voted (in what post)

    Spacecamp | 2 | monstrman (23), JV (57)

    oskar | 2 | ong (55), Luco (71)
    baudib | 1 | Poop (17)
    Benny | 1 | baudib (70)
    You can find any pattern you want to any level of precision you want, if you're prepared to ignore enough data.
  26. #101
    Based on a skim, my top scum candidates are ongbonga and Jack (you guys pick what order)

    And I am currently in the camp of town Baudib and Benny.

    Omg makes the grade for "it's only Wolfy if I pretend it's random when it's not" (statistics, bro!)

    Jack for making what looks like a bunch of small mistakes that could be slips in perspective.

    Baud mades town camp for what Benny pointed out: wolves are usually more slick.

    Benny for pointing out jack scummy super early, though defensiveness of Luco's vote is cause for concern if Jack turns up town.
  27. #102
    So benny gets a pass for saying jack is wolfy, while I'm wolfy for a comment that is obviously not to be taken seriously, even though I'm hardcore on jack's ass as well.

    Welcome to the game!
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  28. #103
    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    So benny gets a pass for saying jack is wolfy, while I'm wolfy for a comment that is obviously not to be taken seriously, even though I'm hardcore on jack's ass as well.

    Welcome to the game!
    The subtle snark of your comment was not obvious to me. I'll reevaluate you, but don't think I'm backtracking for any reason more than my own obliviousness.

    But you could trust that my reads are sincere, since I am obviously on the block for a reason.

    I'm not opposed to LtL, but I think that's too easy, and the mod has stated that modkill is on the table for him. Ong and Luco should move your votes (even on to me) unless Oskar shows up.

    Meanwhile, I'm going to vote a good scum candidate.

    Vote JackVance
  29. #104
    Lynching oskar is betting than him being modkilled. If he's a villager, the modkill hurts us, especially if we lynch a different villager today. Plus it unbalances the game from a final day pov. And if he's a wolf, we lose the information his lynch would have provided.

    I'm not shifting my vote unless he shows up. I don't hate your jack vote though, and I do think you sound town toned.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  30. #105
    beting = better

    must not edit typos
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  31. #106
    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    Lynching oskar is betting than him being modkilled. If he's a villager, the modkill hurts us, especially if we lynch a different villager today. Plus it unbalances the game from a final day pov. And if he's a wolf, we lose the information his lynch would have provided.

    I'm not shifting my vote unless he shows up. I don't hate your jack vote though, and I do think you sound town toned.
    That's not a bad explanation, actually. It seems you have a better mind for mechanics than I.
    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    beting = better

    must not edit typos
    Oh, it's a frustrating experience to be unable to edit my own typos.
  32. #107
    Quote Originally Posted by monstrman View Post
    Last game I shot a lock clear villager hbu
    Well your replacement offered herself up to be lynched as the solve at LYLO so. The slot was just cursed. And you two are among my favorite players.

    RIP SpankGangsta
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  33. #108
    OH shit EOD is today? For some reason I thought we had another 24 hours.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  34. #109
    Let me go check in wolfchat to see if Oskar showed up brb.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  35. #110
    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    Lynching oskar is betting than him being modkilled. If he's a villager, the modkill hurts us, especially if we lynch a different villager today. Plus it unbalances the game from a final day pov. And if he's a wolf, we lose the information his lynch would have provided.
    Only if he's not replaced and the plan seems to be to replace. We learn almost nothing if we lynch Oskar today.
  36. #111
    Quote Originally Posted by Spacecamp View Post
    Benny for pointing out jack scummy super early, though defensiveness of Luco's vote is cause for concern if Jack turns up town.
    Was trying to get a wolf suspect talking, nothing more. Luco had made almost no attempt to engage in the game to that point.
  37. #112
    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    So benny gets a pass for saying jack is wolfy, while I'm wolfy for a comment that is obviously not to be taken seriously, even though I'm hardcore on jack's ass as well.
    Well, yeah. Look at the mustache. Homosexuality is a spectrum.
  38. #113
    Jack's posts are null at best. I can see him being a wolf but I remember him being a really good player so maybe we give him another day to sort him.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  39. #114
    Jack has already said he won't be around to defend himself today. It's the only reason he's not a snap lynch here for me.

    Why do we like poopadoop?
  40. #115
    Quote Originally Posted by BennyLaRue View Post
    Well, yeah. Look at the mustache. Homosexuality is a spectrum.
    If he's a wolf he's faking paranoia reasonably well.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  41. #116
    Oskar left a note in wolfchat saying he'll self-pres 1 minute before deadline. Welp.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  42. #117
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    If he's a wolf he's faking paranoia reasonably well.
    LOL I quoted the wrong post. This was referring to poop.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  43. #118
    I'm definitely not voting for Benny he seems like he's trying to figure people out.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  44. #119
    ^^ I mean I am currently but I'll move my vote elsewhere.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  45. #120
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    I'm definitely not voting for Benny he seems like he's trying to figure people out.
    Meh. A good wolf does that too. 101.
  46. #121
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    LOL I quoted the wrong post. This was referring to poop.
    Can you point to a post? I don't really see it.
  47. #122
    Quote Originally Posted by BennyLaRue View Post
    Jack has already said he won't be around to defend himself today. It's the only reason he's not a snap lynch here for me.

    Why do we like poopadoop?
    That he felt the need to announce his lack of presence this evening is wolfy in itself. I'm forever looking for excuses to participate less when I'm a wolf, it's probably my biggest wolf tell. Are we going to let him get away with that every day?

    poop is a noob at ww but he's an active commune poster so he could be more relaxed than your average first timer wolf. That said, I do lean towards him being a villager. He's certainly not a d1 lynch.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  48. #123
    Quote Originally Posted by BennyLaRue View Post
    Only if he's not replaced and the plan seems to be to replace. We learn almost nothing if we lynch Oskar today.
    If oskar gets replaced, my vote will be removed immediately. Until then, I'm quite happy for him to hang. We rarely learn anything from a d1 lynch unless it's a wolf. I'd rather we not have him modkilled, regardless of his alignment. Lynching him solves problems at no major cost. We can afford a mistake today.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  49. #124
    Quote Originally Posted by BennyLaRue View Post
    Can you point to a post? I don't really see it.
    your post here

    Quote Originally Posted by BennyLaRue View Post
    Jack has already said he won't be around to defend himself today. It's the only reason he's not a snap lynch here for me.

    Why do we like poopadoop?
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  50. #125
    Benny in your own words would you describe your prowess/style as a wolf?
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  51. #126
    Pretty sure I've never played with Poop, Dwarfman or Space guy.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  52. #127
    Monstr I demand you come into the thread and interact with me.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  53. #128
    I can't actually ever remember benny ever being a wolf. I'm sure he has been, but it seems like he's always the seer, always gets protected by the angel (hint hint), and always looks at the right people to lock the game.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  54. #129
    Spacecamp has 4 posts. Who are you exactly?
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  55. #130
    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    I can't actually ever remember benny ever being a wolf. I'm sure he has been, but it seems like he's always the seer, always gets protected by the angel (hint hint), and always looks at the right people to lock the game.
    I'm the angel. Sorry, looks like you're outed.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  56. #131
    Don't fake claim or real claim angel on day one you plonker.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  57. #132
    MadMojoMonkey's Avatar
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    Replacing oskar with another sub is the plan, but it's not a given.
    I made a last-minute request for subs on the MU site, and it's super lucky and I owe many thanks that Spacecamp has volunteered on such short notice.
    While finding another sub is ideal, I do not think that should be considered the likely outcome in the next 4 hours.

    ***
    Oh hey... if I can email oskar, I can email gabe.
    (showing my brains, here)

    ***
    Still... as of now, I do not have a replacement for oskar.
    If I do not have a replacement by EOD, oskar will be modkilled.
    That is the current state of affairs.
    You can find any pattern you want to any level of precision you want, if you're prepared to ignore enough data.
  58. #133
    lynch Luco

    show us your big villager peen if you have one
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  59. #134
    Quote Originally Posted by baudib View Post
    Benny in your own words would you describe your prowess/style as a wolf?
    Hopefully the same as my villager style. That's kind of the point, isn't it?
  60. #135
    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    I can't actually ever remember benny ever being a wolf. I'm sure he has been, but it seems like he's always the seer, always gets protected by the angel (hint hint), and always looks at the right people to lock the game.
    I was a wolf 1-2 times and a vampire once. That time the wolves ate me.

    I was the seer twice and I think I outed myself early both times so the angel could do his job, yep. It works.
  61. #136
    Just under 4 hours left by my reckoning. UTC is Europe and is 1 hr behind British Summer Time, so midnight UK = 11pm UTC..
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  62. #137
    Best seer ever was courtiebee. I played with her once, I was a wolf and we had no idea she was seer. She outed herself with 2/2 wolf picks. Crushed.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  63. #138
    ​lynch luco
  64. #139
    oskar's Avatar
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    Since Benny was the only one with the sense to remind me by posting in the ONLY ACTIVE SUB in this ghost town, it's quite obvious that he's just looking for his next victim. So, thank you Benny, and

    lynch BennyLaRue
    The strengh of a hero is defined by the weakness of his villains.
  65. #140
    Quote Originally Posted by BennyLaRue View Post
    Hopefully the same as my villager style. That's kind of the point, isn't it?
    That's not helpful.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  66. #141
    rescind oskar

    Hi oskar!
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  67. #142
    Quote Originally Posted by oskar View Post
    Since Benny was the only one with the sense to remind me by posting in the ONLY ACTIVE SUB in this ghost town, it's quite obvious that he's just looking for his next victim. So, thank you Benny, and

    lynch BennyLaRue
    It's OSKAR!
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  68. #143
    oskar is blatantly a villager. If he's a wolf he'd be all apologetic and worried about those who are voting for him.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  69. #144
    Quote Originally Posted by oskar View Post
    Since Benny was the only one with the sense to remind me by posting in the ONLY ACTIVE SUB in this ghost town, it's quite obvious that he's just looking for his next victim. So, thank you Benny, and

    lynch BennyLaRue
    Lol, I could have actively encouraged an easy lynch of you if I were a wolf. You've got it backwards.
  70. #145
    oskar's Avatar
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    Nice try, Fido.
    The strengh of a hero is defined by the weakness of his villains.
  71. #146
    Remember the game Aubrey was seer and was AFK for 5 days?
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  72. #147
    I was secretly waiting for Gabe to sub in and save us all. Or pwn us if he's a wolf.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  73. #148
    Quote Originally Posted by oskar View Post
    Nice try, Fido.
    Don't use your weird Euro references on me. Who is Fido?
  74. #149
    Quote Originally Posted by BennyLaRue View Post
    Don't use your weird Euro references on me. Who is Fido?
    Pretty sure Fido is code for "your mom" in Norwegian.
    Playing big pots at small stakes.
  75. #150
    I have too many villager reads. The only three I'm not solid on (for d1 at least) are jack, monstr and luco.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong

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