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  1. #151
    BankItDrew's Avatar
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    I don't think there's anything that's going to stop this lolz train so I'm going to hop on just to help solidify this.

    rescind bigred lynch lolzzz_321

    The first couple of days are going to be a bit of a crap shoot but by day 3 we should have a pretty good argument for the following lynches.

    This is a great piece of information once we find out his identity:
    Quote Originally Posted by lolzzz_321 View Post
    When I die, take a look at mid to late bandwaggoners like hoopy and night gizmo.
    It's pretty safe to assume that if he is a wolf, hoopy and gizmo are not wolves. Pretty much a lock.

    The problem is that lolz is probably not a wolf just due to sheer numbers. Unfortunately for him, he's only started to post once the votes started adding up against him.

    lolz, if you want to rectify this situation - add your 2 cents on as many players as possible. The more new info/ideas we read, the more likely we'll want to keep you around.
    Last edited by BankItDrew; 03-22-2012 at 02:59 PM.
  2. #152
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    Throw JKDS into that list too. IF BID turns out to be a wolf (not lone wolf), maybe discount hoopy and night gizmo.
  3. #153
    I feel like I explained that in a retarded way. Hopefully somebody gets what I'm talking about there and can write it out better than me.
  4. #154
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    So, do you guys think we get more info out of lynching me or starting a second wagon on someone?
  5. #155
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    Quote Originally Posted by lolzzz_321 View Post
    So, do you guys think we get more info out of lynching me or starting a second wagon on someone?
    We get more info out of a second wagon, and a third, and a fourth. You just need to give us a good reason to.
  6. #156
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    Quote Originally Posted by BennyLaRue View Post
    I feel like I explained that in a retarded way. Hopefully somebody gets what I'm talking about there and can write it out better than me.
    I think if you just break it down into -

    "If someone gets lynched and is a wolf, it becomes more likely the remaining wolves were not part of the lynch. If someone gets lynched and is a villager, it becomes more likely the wolves were part of the lynch.

    If we all gang up on one player, the easier it will be for the wolves to hide."

    WEREWOLF CREED IMO
  7. #157
    Quote Originally Posted by lolzzz_321 View Post
    WEREWOLF CREED IMO
    lol, way to annoy the one guy not actively gunning for you

    The key to the math I sucked at communicating would be that we keep the wagons relatively close to one another in size, ie. don't flip just because a lynch has momentum like BID just did.
  8. #158
    Quote Originally Posted by lolzzz_321 View Post
    Damn, you got here pretty quick to defend yourself. Here is my defense - I'm a villager. Sorry if you feel antagonized. It's just a fact you're going to find wolves bandwaggoning the primary lynchee; even if those wolves give a reason for lynching.

    Also, BID is playing way too hard to be a villager. TBH, I think he finally got a PM that said I'm a wolf. You should probably keep him around though because he is contributing.
    You shouldn't be surprised that you're a target when up until half an hour ago you had one post for all of day one. I'm just pointing out that so far you've mainly just called those on your wagon wolves and nignogs.

    There are still 18 hours left before the end of the day, and most people still have plenty of posts left to have a good discussion. Try changing our minds that you're a villager instead of making blanket statements like "Anyone lynching me is wolfy." If you're a villager, then they are only wolfy to you -- to anyone else (me, at least) it's just empty rhetoric from a possible wolf.
  9. #159
    BankItDrew's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BennyLaRue View Post
    If we all gang up on one player, the easier it will be for the wolves to hide.
    This is essentially the key to your post and all you needed to say.

    It makes sense too but the timing of the votes is more indicative of ones identity than the vote itself. For example: I feel like a wolf is more likely to be a 3rd or 4th vote than a first or second.

    Someone please find out the order of votes for lolz.
  10. #160
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    Quote Originally Posted by BennyLaRue View Post
    The key to the math I sucked at communicating would be that we keep the wagons relatively close to one another in size, ie. don't flip just because a lynch has momentum like BID just did.
    I agree 100%. That was dumb of me. Still learning.

    rescind lolzzz_321 lynch bigred
  11. #161
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    Well, I'm a villager and now I have some free time. I just want to throw out a lynch JKDS because if you look at his posts, really no value. Also, he band waggoned me.

    Night Gizmo is odd. He did late band wagon and posted a lightning quick defense when I mention his name. It seems too defensive. Every knows I have less than 0 credibility, but you confront it head on. In fact, you're still viewing this thread, are you scared?

    Also, this post of his caught my eye -

    "I also agree that TLR made a very strong villager statement to start off this game, it's highly unlikely that a wolf would advocate this strategy."

    Are you and TLR wolf brethren? But after reading his other posts, seems unlikely. He is new blood to the game and seems to post his genuine observations and uses sound logic for his lynches (like why he wants to lynch me).
  12. #162
    Ok I'm thinking lolz is looking like a villager, and his mod experience is a useful tool for the village if he's on our side. If we're lynching by suspiscion, I think drew is our best bet, but I might just be making the mistake of seeing him play differently and assume that's wolfy.

    I'd rather win than lynch lolz out of spite (it is a spite vote in all honesty), so rescind lolzzz_321

    Gizmo's response to lolz calling him out interests me, only because lolz as good as called me a wolf suspect at the same time because I'm on his wagon. My response was haha, gizmo's more defensive. Different responses might mean different roles... I'm a villager. But then again it might just be because gizmo is new to the game and as such is naturally more defensive when someone points the finger at him.

    So drew and gizmo look slightly more suspect to me than anyone else.

    I don't like a JKDS lynch, not at all. He could be a wolf, but it's day one and he's very good at the logic side of this game, lynching him this early is a mistake without solid reads.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  13. #163
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    I'm calling the mid to late bandwaggoners nignogs and wolves.

    Since I'm a villager, there are some likely wolves in my mid to late bandwagon. Especially because I didn't talk for so long.

    Idk how to convince you that I'm a villager on day 1. Also, I think it's a waste of posts to do so. I think you'd get more info if I never posted again and died a villager as opposed to me posting reasons why I am a villager.

    I'd rather take action and start another wagon so we can get more info. I believe we can learn more about more of the village that way. How much are we going to learn if I make a list of 10 reasons why I am a villager?
  14. #164
    BankItDrew's Avatar
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    I agree with pretty much everything Ong just said, including the part about why villagers might find me as suspicious.

    I just never really agreed with the logic "lolzz is probably a villager but he doesn't post, so let's lynch him"

    We should be lynching suspicious players, even if it's less than suspicious day one suspicions.

    I've never been a wolf nor a special and I hadn't started to contribute until late last game.
  15. #165
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    Quote Originally Posted by lolzzz_321 View Post
    I'd rather take action and start another wagon so we can get more info. I believe we can learn more about more of the village that way. How much are we going to learn if I make a list of 10 reasons why I am a villager?
    OK

    do it

    Which one are you going to create/jump on?
  16. #166
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    see 161
  17. #167
    Quote Originally Posted by lolzzz_321 View Post
    Night Gizmo is odd. He did late band wagon and posted a lightning quick defense when I mention his name. It seems too defensive. Every knows I have less than 0 credibility, but you confront it head on. In fact, you're still viewing this thread, are you scared?
    This is the same argument that was used against me last time -- I explain my thought process and it comes across as defensive (Ong used the term "cautious" last game, actually). Watching the thread as it develops is fun, plus I sit at the computer all day anyway (software engineer). But I don't spam the thread, I contribute when I have something new to add (or to defend myself).


    Quote Originally Posted by lolzzz_321 View Post
    Also, this post of his caught my eye -

    "I also agree that TLR made a very strong villager statement to start off this game, it's highly unlikely that a wolf would advocate this strategy."

    Are you and TLR wolf brethren? But after reading his other posts, seems unlikely. He is new blood to the game and seems to post his genuine observations and uses sound logic for his lynches (like why he wants to lynch me).
    As a tangent, since you brought this point up -- TLR strongly argued for the lost wolf to out himself, which still seems villagery in my mind. Dan pointed out that since the lost wolf is unlikely to out himself, it's an easy way for a wolf to gain some village cred, but it's working for me. I just don't see a wolf trying so hard to get the lost wolf to expose himself, because the risk is too high if he accidentally succeeds.

    Anyway, back to the original issue, your post count is up and you seem pretty actively engaged in the game now, which is basically my current criteria for not lynching on day 1. I agree that multiple wagons are better for the village, because you can get more info. Who do you suggest (and why) should be a second or even third wagon? (Obviously bigred and boog are already on the table -- if you agree with those, list your thoughts on each).
  18. #168
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    10 reasons why lolzzz is a villager for nightgizmo

    1.) rilla sent me a pm that said i was a villager
    2.) supa is my colored servant
    3.) i have a dog named buddy
    4.) i have a pitchfork
    5.) i walk by the clock just to pass the time
    6.) my son is named sundial
    7.) i believe john lennon's imagine is the GOAT
    8.) i made out with martha macissac
    9.) i play clarinet in a band called youth in asia that plays for hospice patients
    10.) im white
  19. #169
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    Hey NightGizmo,

    I have basically broken down my criteria as someone who mid to late waggoned me. I'm an easy targe, so the genesis of my vote could also be suspicious. I feel like the middle to late part of the vote train to lynching is more suspicious.

    I ultimately settled on JKDS because his posts in this game have been of inferior quality.

    Cordially,
    Shane
  20. #170
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    rescind lolzzz, because i loled at your 10 reasons and theres no way a wolf does that.
  21. #171
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    ya, nothing personal JKDS
  22. #172
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    Seems like the count is now
    5 Lolz: Hoopy, Boog, Night Gizmo, Bigred, Dan
    3 Bigred: Benny, Tlr, BID
    3 Boog: Flomo, wuf, matt
    1 JKDS: Lolzzz

    I confused myself halfway through making that, but i think its right
  23. #173
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    Quote Originally Posted by lolzzz_321 View Post
    10 reasons why lolzzz is a villager for nightgizmo

    1.) rilla sent me a pm that said i was a villager
    2.) supa is my colored servant
    3.) i have a dog named buddy
    4.) i have a pitchfork
    5.) i walk by the clock just to pass the time
    6.) my son is named sundial
    7.) i believe john lennon's imagine is the GOAT
    8.) i made out with martha macissac
    9.) i play clarinet in a band called youth in asia that plays for hospice patients
    10.) im white
    1. No talking about PMs of any sort.
    First and last warning about this one.
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  24. #174
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    Quote Originally Posted by lolzzz_321 View Post
    10 reasons why lolzzz is a villager for nightgizmo

    1.) rilla sent me a pm that said i was a villager
    2.) supa is my colored servant
    3.) i have a dog named buddy
    4.) i have a pitchfork
    5.) i walk by the clock just to pass the time
    6.) my son is named sundial
    7.) i believe john lennon's imagine is the GOAT
    8.) i made out with martha macissac
    9.) i play clarinet in a band called youth in asia that plays for hospice patients
    10.) im white


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  25. #175
    ARE YOU A NEWFIE?!?!
  26. #176
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    i need to blog about that night
  27. #177
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    Quote Originally Posted by lolzzz_321 View Post
    i need to blog about that night
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  28. #178
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    The fact that bigred voted for lolzzz early and is also the most suspicious wolf makes me want to vote for him twice. This might be the first ever wolf day 1 lynching if I'm right.
    Last edited by BankItDrew; 03-22-2012 at 06:22 PM.
  29. #179
    Quote Originally Posted by JKDS View Post
    Seems like the count is now
    5 Lolz: Hoopy, Boog, Night Gizmo, Bigred, Dan
    3 Bigred: Benny, Tlr, BID
    3 Boog: Flomo, wuf, matt
    1 JKDS: Lolzzz

    I confused myself halfway through making that, but i think its right
    And then if he doesn't post again, Boog will have another vote added on (he's at 4 votes).
  30. #180
    I meant he's a 4 posts, but it would also mean 4 votes so w/e.
  31. #181
    I don't find anyone that suspicious at this point since there's not much evidence to go on. Going to hold my vote for a while.

    rescind lolzzz_123

    BID's has changed the way he's playing totally, not sure what to think of this.

    On thing that needs to be repeated is that the vig should not shoot tonight.
  32. #182
    Quote Originally Posted by Hoopy View Post
    I don't find anyone that suspicious at this point since there's not much evidence to go on. Going to hold my vote for a while.

    rescind lolzzz_123

    BID's has changed the way he's playing totally, not sure what to think of this.

    On thing that needs to be repeated is that the vig should not shoot tonight.
    I think the vig should shoot simply because that's his role. I'm the type who would rather people play for fun when it comes to things like this. Example, I don't suggest the lost wolf should out himself (unless that's how he wanted to play) because it's his role and he gets to use it.

    In last game, I wouldn't have used my vig shot if the seer was still alive, but that would have been my choice. In future games, I would like to see the vig simply not be able to kill specials because then it would make sure that he's value to the village. When enough specials are alive, and when a seer is unprotected, I think the vig shots are probably a hindrance to villagers, but I don't think that matters. In this game, I think the vig shot hitting a special isn't that bad since the only time he gets a kill is if it's the bodyguard, and the seer still lives

    So I'm saying, whether right or wrong, the vig should shoot just cuz he's the vig. Just shoot smart, I guess
  33. #183
    JKDS's Avatar
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    Wufs a villager!
  34. #184
    i think boog and bigred are on lolz wagon because theyre both wolves and lolz is not

    and ong is on no wagon because all three wolves cant be on lolz
  35. #185
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    Im just loling that boog is actually gonna get lynched on day 1. Ive been trying for years
  36. #186
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    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    If we're lynching by suspiscion, I think drew is our best bet, but I might just be making the mistake of seeing him play differently and assume that's wolfy..
    I think youre wrong about drew, and that hes a villager. I highly doubt a wolf bid is gonna all of a sudden post a billion times (almost more than me!).

    But...you've calmed way the fuck down this game. I know you said you were playing different, but just lolz and drew for choices? The spite candidates? Cmooooooooooooonnnnnnnn, i didnt mean for you to completely stop the finger pointing, just tone it down a little bit

    What do you think of hoopy?
  37. #187
    JKDS's Avatar
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    Has anyone played a lot with benny? I have no past game reads on him at all
  38. #188
    I have.
  39. #189
    I clicked too fast. I meant to type:

    ...in the pants area.
  40. #190
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    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    i think boog and bigred are on lolz wagon because theyre both wolves and lolz is not
    This is essentially my logic for the past day or so. This could be an easy game if we get one of them early.
  41. #191
    Quote Originally Posted by JKDS View Post
    What do you think of hoopy?
    It's too early tbh. He's barely above the post threshold, he's giving little away, but last game showed that the village can sniff him out so I don't see any reason to turn the screw on him just yet.

    Benny, he's giving us much more. He's usually active, and he's played seer to perfection, so he has a good understanding of the game and is good to keep around unless we have reason to swing for him. Again, it's too early to decide on benny. He's not a good day one lynch, neither is hoopy, that's my take on both of them today.

    Yeah I'm much less aggressive this game, one problem I have found with my finger pointing tactic is noone takes me seriously when I put hours of analysis in and nail the fucking lot of them.

    I'm not sure yet who I think should be lynched, boog is lowest in post count but his value is greater than matt and flomo, who are just above him. Flomo I think we should maybe keep around for at least a day because he got lynched on day one last time, so I'm thinking matt should go because his value isn't high, his post count is low, and I find it odd that he has avoided any serious heat, despite him being a prime lynch candidate.

    I'm nearly up to 20 posts so I'm reserving my remaining posts in case I want to change my vote, for now I'm happy to lynch mattc16

    JKDS, you're at 22 so don't post until you really need to.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  42. #192
    Rilla called 24 hrs. You can post as much as you want now, hence my increased verbosity.
  43. #193
    Oh sweet the 25 post limit is lifted after clock is set, I didn't realise until now. Ignore that bit then.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  44. #194
    BankItDrew's Avatar
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    FWIW - updated post counts: (i may have made a mistake but lol to that, rite?)

    BennyLaRue - 23*

    JKDS - 22

    Myself - 22

    OngBonga - 22

    lolzzz_321 - 13*

    bigred - 11

    NightGizmo - 11

    TLR - 10

    wufwugy - 10

    DanAronG - 10

    Hoopy - 8

    flomo - 7

    mattc16 - 6*

    BooG690 - 4





    *BennyLaRue has posted the most as of late, 16 since my last count.
    *lolzzz_321 Has posted 12 times since my last count, 2nd most since.
    *mattc16 has only posted once since the last count.
    Last edited by BankItDrew; 03-22-2012 at 10:41 PM.
  45. #195
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    BID basically doing 'rillas job

    We really need automated voting of sort. Also, I voted JKDS but I can understand us voting for the least valuable inactive. I'll rescind JKDS and lynch boog.
  46. #196
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    Scoreboard!

    4 votes for BooG690 (flomo, wufwugy, mattc16, lolzzz_321)
    4 votes for lolzzz_321(BooG690, NightGizmo, bigred, DanARonG)
    3 votes for bigred (BennyLaRue, TLR, BankItDrew)
    1 votes for mattc16 (OngBonga)
    1 votes for Nobody (Hoopy)


    PM/email any corrections
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  47. #197
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    Day 1 ends at 8:30 AM EST. At 8:30 the thread should be considered closed.
    Last edited by a500lbgorilla; 03-22-2012 at 11:07 PM.
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  48. #198
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    I swear i voted for boog lynch boog
  49. #199
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    Dont fall for his boogy tricks guys! Hes a booger!
  50. #200
    rescind lolzzz_312

    One comment -- I like your reasoning about the timing of people jumping on your wagon, except that on day 1 it's pretty tough to use that information immediately. It can be much more useful a few days into the game, but it's only useful on day 2 if you're dead and we know whether you are a villager. Otherwise, we can't give it a lot of weight without having any more proof that you're actually a villager.

    Anyway, I still like lynching boog and mattc, plus bigred is being wagoned now, too. Boog has the lowest post count, but at least his posts have some reasoning/analysis. Bigred has the most posts out of the three, but contains a fair amount of fluff (but enough value to keep him around) -- I imagine his post count will go up when he's back from vacation. Mattc barely has the minimum number of posts and his posts are practically value-free.

    Sticking with my original day-1 strategy of lynching least-value players with low post counts, lynch mattc16
  51. #201
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    Sick. I didn't think I would actually get lynched. I've tried to be as constructive as possible in the little amount of time I've gotten to play in this game.

    For those that don't know, I'm currently in Korea. I made a point of this last game but there are some playing this game that don't know (Benny and Bigred come to mind). My time zone is 13 hours ahead of EST and 8 hours ahead of Brits (I think).

    Last game I didn't really mind if I got lynched and somehow made it until the end. Sadly, I can't be as flexible this game. I'm the seer. It sucks that the deadline is in a mere 1.5 hours and I'm probably going to get lynched.

    Sorry about this. I really didn't think I would actually get lynched today.
    That's how winners play; we convince the other guy he's making all the right moves.
  52. #202
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    Rescindboog690
  53. #203
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    Lynch bigred


    Wake up smart people and get this figured out.
  54. #204
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    Well we obviously can't lynch boog now. I can only check in quickly and it really sucks if boog is the seer. The good news is he's protected until the bodyguard is found, but it could also mean we just found a wolf and boog fake outed.

    Flomo and anyone voting for me, I insist you rescind and take out lolz for the day. I've put out votes and a few suspicions. He's posted absolute garbage as usual and will help the village very little except to hide as a wolf again.

    I'm staying with his lynch and you really are an idiot if you think otherwise.
    LOL OPERATIONS
  55. #205
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    Are you fucking shitting me???
  56. #206
    JKDS's Avatar
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    Seriously, i finally see the day where ppl actually WANT to lynch boog with me...and he outs as the fucking seer. GAAAAAHHHHHH

    rescind boog
  57. #207
    JKDS's Avatar
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    If boog is the seer, im taking a break from next game. Itd be the 2nd one in a row where i helped lynch the most important special in the game. jfc
  58. #208
    a500lbgorilla's Avatar
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    Scoreboard!

    4 votes for bigred (BennyLaRue, TLR, BankItDrew, flomo)
    3 votes for BooG690 (wufwugy, mattc16, lolzzz_321)
    3 votes for lolzzz_321(BooG690, bigred, DanARonG)
    2 votes for mattc16 (OngBonga, NightGizmo)
    2 votes for Nobody (Hoopy, JKDS)


    PM/email any corrections
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  59. #209
    flomo's Avatar
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    Rescind bigred
    Lynch lolzz

    Bigred you owe me a drink.
  60. #210
    a500lbgorilla's Avatar
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    Scoreboard!

    4 votes for lolzzz_321(BooG690, bigred, DanARonG, flomo)
    3 votes for bigred (BennyLaRue, TLR, BankItDrew)
    3 votes for BooG690 (wufwugy, mattc16, lolzzz_321)
    2 votes for mattc16 (OngBonga, NightGizmo)
    2 votes for Nobody (Hoopy, JKDS)


    I'm going to leave this up for a few hours. If you think your vote has been registered incorrectly, please let me know in PM/email or just think it really hard. I'll probably pick up on it.
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  61. #211
    a500lbgorilla's Avatar
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    lolzzz_321 is dead.
    Spoiler:
    Spoiler:
    Spoiler:
    lolzzz_321 is a villager
    Spoiler:


    You bitches:

    13 players

    Hoopy
    BooG690
    bigred
    OngBonga
    NightGizmo
    mattc16
    JKDS
    DanAronG
    flomo
    TLR
    wufwugy
    BennyLaRue
    BankItDrew

    6 Villagers
    1 Lost Wolf
    1 Seer
    1 Bodyguard
    1 Vigilante (1 bullets)

    3 Wolves


    lolzzz_321, a villager, lynched day 1

    It's now night 1. Vig has a bullet. Send in your night actions. Night actions that aren't received by noon EST tomorrow will be randomized.
    Last edited by a500lbgorilla; 03-23-2012 at 11:46 AM.
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  62. #212
    a500lbgorilla's Avatar
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    Oh shit, son!

    Spoiler:
    The Lost Wolf was hunted down last night.
    Spoiler:
    Spoiler:
    The Lost Wolf is now a wolf.


    You bitches:

    13 players

    Hoopy
    BooG690
    bigred
    OngBonga
    NightGizmo
    mattc16
    JKDS
    DanAronG
    flomo
    TLR
    wufwugy
    BennyLaRue
    BankItDrew

    6 Villagers
    1 Seer
    1 Bodyguard
    1 Vigilante (1 bullets)

    4 Wolves


    lolzzz_321, a villager, lynched day 1
    The Lost Wolf was recruited night 1

    It's day 2.

    Post counts as of beginning of day 2.

    JKDS : 27
    BankItDrew : 22
    BennyLaRue : 22
    OngBonga : 20
    bigred : 12
    NightGizmo : 12
    DanAronG : 10
    TLR : 10
    flomo : 10
    wufwugy : 10
    Hoopy : 8
    mattc16 : 6
    BooG690 : 5
    Last edited by a500lbgorilla; 03-24-2012 at 01:49 PM.
    <a href=http://i.imgur.com/kWiMIMW.png target=_blank>http://i.imgur.com/kWiMIMW.png</a>
  63. #213
    Flomo for President! Of South Moronovia!

    So many people I'd like to lynch today, including bigred because he's a wolf. His last post calling people idiots was super wolfy. Villager bigred doesn't get snippy.

    And Boog, I knew you were in Korea but the Internet is 24 hrs, brah. I don't see why being in Korea means you can't post a lot, unless there's more to the story.
  64. #214
    Interesting end of day and night

    Regarding boog, for now we have to work under the assumption he is a seer until we have more info. If he is a fake wolf we will figure that out later; also if he is fake there are two villagers who know it for certain, we just need to avoid blindly following him

    Regarding the lost wolf, it is better to have him turned now then at a later date, also it is either BID or Flomo, so we should lynch one of them alongside bigred


  65. #215
    Boog is obviously a wolf, if he's the seer why the fuck did the wolves not try to nom him, thus killing the bodyguard?

    We shouldn't lynch him yet, just in case the wolves are trying to get us to do their dirty work, but if he is the seer they can't afford to leave him for much longer. I think it's safe to assume he's probably a wolf and we simply take what he says with a pinch of salt.

    Also, if the wolves figured out who the lost wolf is, we should be able to figure it out too, clearly the clues are there.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  66. #216
    Lost wolf is probably TLR based on it being a night one nom, that's my best guess at this stage.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  67. #217
    Thinking more, TLR should be aware that boog is looking like a wolf due to the bodyguard role, so TLR dodging this rather obvious point is mega strange.

    Today's lynch should be one of TLR, bigred or flomo imo.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  68. #218
    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    Boog is obviously a wolf, if he's the seer why the fuck did the wolves not try to nom him, thus killing the bodyguard?
    Good point, I actually forgot about this rule, I thought they had to get the bodyguard first

    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    We shouldn't lynch him yet, just in case the wolves are trying to get us to do their dirty work, but if he is the seer they can't afford to leave him for much longer. I think it's safe to assume he's probably a wolf and we simply take what he says with a pinch of salt.
    If he is the real seer they cannot let him live for too long as he will be able to post his lookups, and eventually the seer will come out/be exposed anyhow, I agree we should operate under the assumption that he is a wolf

    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    Also, if the wolves figured out who the lost wolf is, we should be able to figure it out too, clearly the clues are there.
    When a player who does not give a shit as a villager is suddently interested in the game it means he is a special, both BID and Flomo fit this bill, this is the reason I backed off BID yesterday, as he was definitly a wolf or a special, and the wolves probably picked on that as well, so the lost wolf is probably eiher BID or Flomo, I am leaning more towards BID.

    Bigred posts are wolfy as hell, I think we can go lynch BR/ shoot BID or lynch BID and shoot Flomo if we missed on BID. Bigred otherwise


  69. #219
    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    Boog is obviously a wolf, if he's the seer why the fuck did the wolves not try to nom him, thus killing the bodyguard?
    It's possible that:

    1) The wolves were so convinced they knew who the lost wolf was that they decided gaining the 4th so more important and they could leave Boog until tonight, kill the bodyguard and then get Boog Night 3. We'll know this to be the case if the bodyguard dies tonight.

    2) Boog was the Lost Wolf and that was his way of telling the wolves. This would be teh Level III Advanced Play as LW and if that's what he did, pretty cool.

    Anyway, all will be revealed if the Bodyguard is still alive tomorrow (as long as we don't lynch him).
  70. #220
    rong's Avatar
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    Boog as the lone wolf makes more sense than anything else.

    No way the wolves let the seer survive even 1 extra night.

    So either boog is the lone wolf, or boog is a wolf and the lone wolf is someone else.

    I don't buy flomo, he hasn't been that involved to imply himself special. Bid makes sense from tlr's argument.

    Just as likely for lone wolf is benny and tlr as one of them would have been my first kill choice. Get rid of the better players. Ong and wuf may be good but both lack enough credibility due to their intentional style to lengthen their life spans.
    I'm the king of bongo, baby I'm the king of bongo bong.
  71. #221
    I think boog being the lone wolf makes a lot of sense, that one didn't occur to me immediately.
    Dan, I only try to prolong my life span when I'm special, I'll let the wolves decide if I'm trying to stay alive this game. When I'm a regular villager, I'm happy to be nommed because it keeps real specials alive longer.
    As for flomo, the only reason I find him suspect is because he saved bigred from the noose last night with a late flip, if bigred turns up wolf flomo becomes very vulnerable.
    Benny could be lone wolf, he's a prime night one target too. Also, same could be said about Dan after his performance last game.
    But for now I'm happy to assume boog was the lone wolf, it makes most sense.

    Bigred looks like a great lynch today.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  72. #222
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    I think one of hoopy, night gizmo, or mattc are the best targets. Theyre laying relatively low and letting the villagers hang themselves.

    I seem to be on most lists which sucks because it's hard to defend yourself on day 2 when you were at the forefront of lynching a villager on day 1 when people were already suspicious of you. Not much I can offer as defense to that.

    What are thoughts on tlr and wufwugy? Tlr has put the pedal to the metal from the beginning and seems a little off. Wufwugy has been somewhat quiet but has me pegged for a wolf. Very easy to cast suspicion on me. Wuf usually wouldn't be so forward with clear targets IMO.
    LOL OPERATIONS
  73. #223
    bigred's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by OngBonga View Post
    Thinking more, TLR should be aware that boog is looking like a wolf due to the bodyguard role, so TLR dodging this rather obvious point is mega strange.

    Today's lynch should be one of TLR, bigred or flomo imo.
    I like a flomo lynch. While I appreciate him letting me live another day, if he's a wolf he knows I'm going to be lynched soon or even regardless of his rescind due to growing suspicions on me. When I'm inevitably lynched and shown to be a villager today, tomorrow, etc flomo has quite the chip in his pocket.
    LOL OPERATIONS
  74. #224
    a500lbgorilla's Avatar
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    If anyone targets the seer and the bodyguard dies in his place, the death notice will reflect this detail.

    If the lost wolf, now a full wolf, dies, the death notice will reflect his role as lost wolf.

    Post count restrictions are still in effect today.
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  75. #225
    flomo's Avatar
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    Jkds rescinded and then didn't vote when it was most crucial to vote.

    For me it looked like I could lynch villager bigred or villager lollz.
    That is assuming boog is the seer.

    Bigred is more fun in the game and in bed, so I lynched lollz.


    No balls so Lynch JKDS

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