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Wrong Time to Take a Stand

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  1. #1

    Default Wrong Time to Take a Stand

    NLH 9-max - $1.5 + $0.2 -- 9 Max -- 0/25/50 Blinds -- 6 players

    Villain has open shoved four or five times already, and was never so short that his only choices were shove or fold. It's become his game to open shove whenever it's folded to him. Once, he showed 8,6 suited. Another time, he showed 10,7 off.

    SB - 4,391
    BB (Hero) - 1,617
    UTG - 1,430
    HJ - 1,882
    CO - 1,335
    BTN - 2,845

    Dealt to Hero - 7, 7

    3 folds, Villain is all in, fold, Hero is all in

    *** FLOP *** 4, K, K
    *** TURN *** K
    *** RIVER *** J

    Should I have folded and waited for a better a spot?
  2. #2
    Are blinds really 25/50?

    Based on this:

    It's become his game to open shove whenever it's folded to him
    And the fact he's shown 86 and 7To already, I'm not folding
  3. #3
    Yep. As I said, Villain was never ever a short stack to merit starting this in the first place. The SnG also had 10-minute blind levels.
  4. #4
    It's tough to fold, but I wouldn't call a shove here. Even though it's aggravating, if they are shoving with T8 offsuit, it's the same odds as them shoving with AK. Pocket seven are almost always a coin flip at best in this situation.
  5. #5
    How confident are you that he's shoving any two? If he is, you should call since you're well ahead of his range. Otoh, if you feel he's "only" shoving 50%, that shifts the odds quite a bit since it means you're flipping much more of the time.
  6. #6
    v a 50% range

    Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

    6,380,044,704 games 0.000 secs 1,276,008,940,800 games/sec

    Board:
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 57.476% 57.06% 00.41% 3612913071 26040631.75 { 77 }
    Hand 1: 42.524% 42.11% 00.41% 2666249706 26040631.75 { 33+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T7o+, 98o }

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