tourney hand , opinions wanted

me and my buddy discussing this hand , i would like to know what you guys think, 69+6on fulltilt 220 players, 10 players left 5 on each table, i am 6th in chips i think

Full Tilt Poker Game #3143895507: $14,500 Guarantee (23477093), Table 8 - 800/1600 Ante 200 - No Limit Hold'em - 19:25:09 ET - 2007/08/03
Seat 1: maxxscam (31,146)
Seat 3: reallySCARYname (30,112)
Seat 4: btigris (34,884)
Seat 5: stevie444 (10,211)
Seat 6: Balla-B13 (63,087)
maxxscam antes 200
reallySCARYname antes 200
btigris antes 200
stevie444 antes 200
Balla-B13 antes 200
Balla-B13 posts the small blind of 800
maxxscam posts the big blind of 1,600
The button is in seat #5
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to maxxscam [2h 2c]
reallySCARYname folds
btigris folds
stevie444 raises to 10,011, and is all in
Balla-B13 folds
maxxscam has 15 seconds left to act
maxxscam has requested TIME

I'd probably call unless he had been very tight. He should be pushing just about anything and you're getting a decent 1.6:1 odds on your money. You also need to gain some chips at this stage in order to do well at the final table.

Edit: Got unlazy and ran it through Pokerstove. Even if he had an extremely tight range of: 22+, A6s+, KTs+, A7o+, KJo+ (about 10% of all hands) you're still at 41% equity. With 1.6:1 odds you need just 38.5% equity to call profitably. Easy call, gambol it up to the final table.

instacall

kinda interesting i posted this on 3 forums this one seems consensus is call, other forum is kinda like either way and third forum all think a fold is in order, i didnt think it was that close and i called my buddies think i shoulda folded

you're the BB so it's a call.

Wow are there really people who fold this? No wonder johnny fish is rich.

This call probably isn't even that marginal.

Originally Posted by mcatdog

Wow are there really people who fold this? No wonder johnny fish is rich.

It's not that bad of a fold. 22 is only 50/50 against any two. When you start including all PPs and excluding crap hands like 23-2K it gets uglier.

yeah but he's getting around 1.6:1.

which is why I said it's a call.

All I am saying is that a fold isn't horrible. It's not too hard to think of a range you're against here where u r not 40% to win. I.e. if your opp is a 15/5 over more than 100 hands even though his M is only 3, it is very likely you are behind.

But no reads were given, which means his range is ATC and it's a call.