Tournament hand analysis, deep run, 50 left from 1800
Hey guys here is a hand from a tournament I just played in there, I was in the CO and had an early raiser, being short stacked and with the blinds eating me up I decided to shove with my AQ, busting out in 45th place. The whole table was playing quite loose and it was pretty much fold/shove mode.
Did I make the right play? Or the wrong?
I believe he made the wrong call and play with what he was holding preflop which doesn't mean my play was the right one either, but that is just my opinion and it could be wrong, but who am I too judge. It would be good to hear others opinions on the hand
With a bit more analysis of the hand it was a losing play statistically with me being a 44.9% underdog to his 54.62% with his 66
but with the circumstances at play with stack sizes (7BB left) / stage of tournament / reads, I am really clueless whether it was right or not
Poker Odds-Calculator from FlopTurnRiver.com Holdem Hi: 100,000 sampled boards Player 1 (A Q): win 44.99% lose 54.62% tie 0.39% EV 0.452 Player 2 (6 6): win 54.62% lose 44.99% tie 0.39% EV 0.548
Last edited by MrFerguson91; 05-27-2015 at 12:26 PM.
7bb deep both played right, except that I also think that direct shove would have been better for UTG+1.. Bet-folding 66 at that point would have have been a huge mistake.
Its a 0,82 buy in tournament, in that stake when people open raise 2bb when they are shortstack instead of shoving that means one thing: weakness, he is not going to have hands that have you beat there, so your push is perfect given stack sizes. You won't face a flip all the times, he may call with worst aces and even KQ KJ
Thanks guys it's good to know it was the right play, came 30th last night in a $0.27, 1k out of around 4800 runners so getting closer and closer to a big score! Little reward though of $2 roughly for getting that far seems not worth it but the $150 first prize in them would be a great ROI. The fields are so soft in these tourneys and it's great practice, every time I get deep in a tourney I am learning new things from the mistakes I make