I have a big hand [16 9man]

And the blinds are equally big. We gamble here or too bad? No real reads other than UTG has not done this pretty often (been quiet).

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 16 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds 25 Ante (7 handed) - Poker-Stars Replayer from Poker Hands Replayer



Jizzy Sawya (MP2) (t1740)
CO (t1245)
Button (t1900)
SB (t1350)
BB (t1560)
UTG (t2290)
MP1 (t3415)

Jizzy Sawya's M: 3.66

Preflop: Jizzy Sawya is MP2 with ,
UTG bets t800, 1 fold, Hero (t0) ?

No reads by this blind level? Shame on you!
Seriously though, if he's been that quiet, hard to play this hand. Hard to see folding AQ in this spot, but if he's a reasonable player, can you be ahead of his range?

Ship it - you're ahead of his range IMO and with an M of 3.7 I don't think you can pass up this spot without a very very solid read that you're behind his range.

Utg is not folding if you push. If utg is any good he will have considered his actions against a push from any of the other stacks at the table before raising and realized there's no folding to a push. IMO he's unlikely to have garbage. I'd put him on 55+, aj+... aq is close I'll give you that, I'd run it through an icm calc.

Remember it's your tourn life on the line here not his.

Interesting, I ran this through Wiz with UTG opening 12% (44+, A9o, A7s+, KQs) and the players still to act calling with 5% or so and this was a pretty clear fold. Looks like I might have developed some leaks in my game because I would ship this pretty much always in a game