Extraction pt. 4 [$6,50 9-man]

One of the first hands no reads. Turn?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 6.5 Tournament, 10/20 Blinds (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Replayer from Poker Hands Replayer



saw flop

CO (t1500)
Button (t1860)
SB (t1260)
BB (t1500)
UTG (t1500)
UTG+1 (t1500)
MP1 (t1500)
Jizzy Sawya (MP2) (t1500)
MP3 (t1380)

Jizzy Sawya's M: 50.00

Preflop: Jizzy Sawya is MP2 with ,
1 fold, UTG+1 bets t80, 1 fold, Jizzy Sawya calls t80, MP3 calls t80, 4 folds

Flop: (t270) , , (3 players)
UTG+1 bets t60, Jizzy Sawya calls t60, MP3 raises to t200, 1 fold, Jizzy Sawya calls t140

Turn: (t730) (2 players)
Hero (t1220) ?

If he doesn't have a Q (or a FH) the only way you will get him to commit more chips to the pot is by checking. I check with the intention of CR-AI.

If he doesn't raise on the turn, I over-shove the river. The chances are if doesn't have a Q, he'll fold to most bets > 1/2 ps. If he is slow-playing a Q or controlling the pot size with a Q, he'll have a hard time folding to an AI bet.

Personally in a $6.50 tournament I would have raised the flop small, to say 200 or so, and watched both opps call.

As played, I think you have two realistic options - either CR AI as Naka said, or bet really small like 250 or something in the hope that he will call and you can get the rest of your chips in on the river without it being an overbet. Personally I think it's unlikely that MP3 would have raised the flop and will now fold the turn to a bet, so I probably lean towards leading small.

Nak I don't agree, if he has a hand this has to look like a good card unless he has 85. If he was bluffing I have to think our cold calling twice leads to the shut down. I guess he could put us on 76. So to me lead small seems better.

That said I think he almost always has a Q so it doesn't matter much.

I think almost any line works here, because I'm pretty sure he's strong and we're getting stacks in no matter. If it were still multiway I actually like overshoving the turn.