AK hits top two, straight and flush on board ($30)

[taipan168]

Opp's stats were 29/7 but only over a very small sample of hands. Check or AI on the river?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 30 Tournament, 15/30 Blinds (8 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP2 (t1385)
CO (t1535)
Button (t1560)
SB (t1440)
Hero (BB) (t1500)
UTG (t1515)
UTG+1 (t2865)
MP1 (t1700)

Hero's M: 33.33

Preflop: Hero is BB with K, A
3 folds, MP2 calls t30, 3 folds, Hero bets t120, MP2 calls t90

Flop: (t255) 4, Q, A (2 players)
Hero bets t180, MP2 calls t180

Turn: (t615) K (2 players)
Hero bets t450, MP2 calls t450

River: (t1515) 8 (2 players)
Hero ????

[fulksy]

at first i thought c/c but i don't think he's going to vbet worse or bluff enough. i think shove for value is better with his stats i think there's a good chance he has Ax, KQ if he's willing to call your turn bet with FD then he would probably call it with Ax,and there's a chance he calls your river bet especially if he has 2 pair.

even if i add some suited gappers you have to much equity to ever c/f, his range might contain less aces and more flushes but i don't think enough to make this c/f.

Board: 4c Ad Qd Ks
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 77.354% 77.35% 00.00% 2859 0.00 { AsKc }
Hand 1: 22.646% 22.65% 00.00% 837 0.00 { 44, AQs-A4s, KQs, KdJd, KdTd, Kd9d, JdTd, Jd9d, Td9d, Td8d, 9d8d, 9d7d, 8d7d, 7d6d, 6d5d, AQo-A7o, KQo, JTo }

[revolvingiris]

The pot is already so big that I guess I would jam esp since your giving villain 3:1.

[TLR]

If you check and he shoves are you folding ?

[baudib]

I'd just shove, if he has some sort of combo draw he'll often put it in vs. this turn bet. He's probably not going to fold some Ax.

If you want to be able to b/f or c/f this river, bet smaller on every street but that probably doesn't work with the way we want to play SNGs.