1 mil Nova Freeroll hand

He is 19/9 over 80 hands. I have been at table for 30 & running 22/19. We are well into money, something like 150 left, ave stack is around 250k.

is this better than c bet?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 0 Tournament, 5000/10000 Blinds 1000 Ante (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 (t76128)
MP2 (t213368)
MP3 (t227000)
CO (t287850)
Button (t119859)
SB (t402522)
BB (t140930)
Hero (UTG) (t367191)
UTG+1 (t287916)

Hero's M: 15.30

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q, J
Hero bets t24750, 3 folds, MP3 calls t24750, 4 folds

Flop: (t73500) 10, 8, 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets t31250, Hero raises to t220000,

I think calling with a plan to essentially out spew someone we view as slight loose is probably an overly ambitious plan. “ - mlagoo

reads are somewhat vague soooooooo even if hes calling his entire 19% range he has 64% equity?? i guess fold depends on what you think he called you with.......?? (lol wtf do i know btw)

I can see a lot of mid pps folding to this but taking a stab when checked to. Probably a decent line to take against a normal aggro player. Not against a rock.

Is it better than a cbet? Since you're UTG, he's not scared of your cbet very often, so this sounds better to me, but he's already got 56k in out of his 227k stack, asking him to make a pretty big lay down.

I don't think he is ever continuing in any way with the range he called you with. Unless you are really unlucky and he has TT or 88 hehe.

If you Cbet him you would be exploitable, but now you exploit him and he has no other choice than folding.

Its hard to really know what his true betting range will be...even tight players seem a little unpredictable here. I definetly don't think this player will be bluffing, but they can still have a weak range...betting 22-99, AJ+ for protection. If hes the type to bet these hands near 100%, I like the crai slightly more. Thats assuming a lot tho given this is a freeroll and hes 19/9.

He has stats that indicate weak/tight play so I'd assume the majority of the time he'll pot control the flop. I like cbetting a little better especially with the possibility that he'll screw up later in the hand...like if you somehow brick the turn [non-heart, Q, J, K, A, 9] and decide to check he might fire 1/3rd pot giving you odds