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$15/180 Resteal spot

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  1. #1

    Default $15/180 Resteal spot

    Opp has been very aggressive up to this point, particularly in position. Stats something like 28/21 over 50 hands. Don't have any particular reads as to whether he's been raise/folding particularly often.

    Do you like this spot for a resteal?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 15 Tournament, 150/300 Blinds 25 Ante (7 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php

    UTG (t1,563)
    MP1 (t3,981)
    MP2 (t2,832)
    CO (t3,399)
    Button (t9,497)
    SB (t4,864)
    Hero (BB) (t6,220)

    Hero's M: 9.95

    Preflop: Hero is BB with 4, K
    4 folds, Button raises to t900, 1 fold, Hero raises to t6,195 (All-In)
  2. #2
    Looks terrible to me. I don't understand why we need to do this. We're in decent shape compared to the rest of the table, this seems like an unneccesary risk. We're restealing light vs the only person at the table who has us covered, when we can just fold and we can see another two orbits at least before we're under any serious pressure. We'll find many better spots than this I would expect. Just fold.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  3. #3
    Horrendous.

    Why did you want to do this?
  4. #4
    Good spot for a resteal (i.e. bb vs an aggro btn with 20bb), but with a much stronger range.
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by ImSavy View Post
    Horrendous.

    Why did you want to do this?
    I really can't remember. Brain snap maybe?
  6. #6
    It is marginally CEV+ if he has a relatively tight calling range (25% of his raising range or so)
    I dont think it is a good spot


  7. #7
    With no reads this play is not good
    The Time To Act Is Now...
  8. #8
    Renton's Avatar
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    The dude is opening for 3x with short stacks in 2014. I think that pretty much settles that he's not a decent reg so if you want to push here as an exploitative measure, I'd like a read that he's raising too often and not defending vs resteals often enough. K4o is quite a large deviation from game theory optimal though, so you need to justify it with at least a read of a general tendency. I'd probably shove somewhat wider than GTO vs some idiot opening 3x 7 handed with small antes, but K4o is a bit too weak even still.

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