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Straight flush draw - Get it in?

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  1. #1

    Default Straight flush draw - Get it in?

    Villain is 32/30/0 3bet over 276 and has shown to be pretty loose pf but can find a fold to aggression post. On the fly i figured i had greater than 50% equity to his donk. I have 48.6% even against the tightest range (KQs, KQo, QQ+, 77). I figured a heart slows him down so i 2bet and he 3bet shoves. I snap-call. Thoughts?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://flopturnriver.com

    BB ($16.21)
    UTG ($4.28)
    UTG+1 ($10)
    MP1 ($10)
    MP2 ($9.90)
    Hero (MP3) ($12.90)
    CO ($7.48)
    Button ($10.51)
    SB ($9.57)

    Preflop: Hero is MP3 with J, 10
    4 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, 3 folds, BB calls $0.20

    Flop: ($0.65) Q, 7, K (2 players)
    BB bets $0.18, Hero raises to $0.83, BB raises to $15.91 (All-In), Hero calls $11.77 (All-In)

    Turn: ($25.85) Q (2 players, 2 all-in)

    River: ($25.85) 3 (2 players, 2 all-in)

    Total pot: $25.85 | Rake: $1.16
  2. #2
    Gotta go for it. How ofter do you have a open-ended Royal Flush draw? Issues I see are sets and Axh hands. All depends on how crazy this guy is / a history of jamming top pair, etc... Chance to hit a Royal adds extra bonus equity in my books!
  3. #3
    Cant fold sir,thats a monster draw ,you hit the nuts with many outs.
  4. #4
    spoonitnow's Avatar
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  5. #5
    Your call isn't bad at all but I would have preferred to call his donkbet rather than reraising it, I like to play draws not too aggressively, because you could isolate yourself against sets or Axh hands maybe, much more likely A7h, but your play isn't bad at all, you have a monster draw
  6. #6
    I think making a raise on the flop isn't that bad of a move although I prefer just calling. When BB re-raises you all in I think it's an easy fold and wait for a better opportunity. You only have draws to straights and flushes and if BB has Axh then your in really bad shape. I like to call all in when I know I have the lead and the % are on my side. JMHO
  7. #7
    villains KQ also has redraws against your non nut flushes and Ah9h kills your flush draws .
  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by Keith View Post
    villains KQ also has redraws against your non nut flushes and Ah9h kills your flush draws .
    Against QQ+, 77, KQo, KQs, and all possible Ahxh we have 50% equity.

    bet/(bet+pot) is 11.77/(11.77+14.08), which is 45.5%.

    This is a +EV call.

    Give him less Ahxh, eg just Ah9h and we improve to 52%. At the time his shove seems more to protect a made hand than to semi-bluff a draw. Against 77, QQ+ and KQs KQo we are 52.6.

    Edit:

    Following Spoon's thread, which i should have done from the start...

    EV = (.5*$14.08)-(.5*$11.77)
    = $7.04 - $5.885
    =$1.155
    Last edited by Openside; 04-22-2015 at 05:31 PM.
  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by micro4life View Post
    standard my friend even vs top of his range you are having more then 42+ % equity
    I deleted this post because it didn't add anything to the discussion. OP has already calculated his equity against various ranges so how does telling him the equity that he has already calculated and given you , help him?.
  10. #10
    Once you raise, you gotta call.

    So the main question is if the raise is the best play (vs call). That's probably a read based question, pending how wide villain donks, how often he donks and folds, how he'll react to a raise after he donks etc.
    Quote Originally Posted by Jay-Z
    I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
    I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks
  11. #11
    I would just call the flop instead of raising him, you could of seen the river for a lot less, but you had a nice draw so not a bad hand to gamble with!

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