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Shoving flushdraw over 3better's flop c-bet
Another fictional hand. No reads.
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10NL 6-max
UTG ($10.00)
MP ($10.00)
CO ($10.00)
Hero (BTN) ($10.00)
SB ($10.00)
BB ($10.00)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with 5h 6h
3 folds, Hero bets $0.40, SB 3b $1.60, BB calls, Hero calls
Flop: ($4.80) As Kh 2h (3 players)
SB bets $3.20, BB folds, Hero ???
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equity against {KK+,AQs+,AsJs,A7s,Ah6h,A5s,Ah4h,KhQh,KsQs,9h8h,8h 7h,7h6h,5h4h,4h3h,AQo+,A4o} = 0.34
EV when Villain calls shove = 0.31*(8.00+5.2)-0.69*8.40 = -1.92
EV when Villain folds = 8.00;
Amount of times Villain has to fold to make the shove profitable = 19.3%
Is shoving acceptable here? What if BB calls? What do we do if BB shoves?
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