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Bottom set vs flop raise/wet board

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  1. #1

    Default Bottom set vs flop raise/wet board

    How would you play this hand vs the raise.

    TY

    Villain 15/10/11 - 22 hands

    MP: €4.34 (108.5 bb)
    CO: €11.33 (283.3 bb)
    BTN: €6.59 (164.8 bb)
    SB: €3.15 (78.8 bb)
    Hero (BB): €4.14 (103.5 bb)
    UTG: €3.94 (98.5 bb)

    SB posts €0.02, Hero posts BB €0.04

    Pre Flop: (pot: €0.06) Hero has T T
    fold, MP calls €0.04, 3 folds, Hero raises to €0.16, MP calls €0.12

    Flop: (€0.34, 2 players) J A T
    Hero bets €0.23, MP raises to €0.52, Hero ?
    Last edited by Qigong; 04-22-2018 at 05:05 AM.
  2. #2
    Villain can have AJ AT TJ KQ AQ maybe even AK and JJ at these stakes (I see both limp/call from early position a lot). I'm not expecting a flush draw here, except maybe KThh.

    We're crushing this range, and I really don't see what he can raise/fold with, so get all the money in now and be happy about it. If he has KQ, we still have plenty of equity. However, when we're ahead, we're absolutely crushing. His AJ is drawing to four outs... essentially a gutshot. His AQ isn't faring much better, needing a king or a full house on the runner. Only his KThh is putting up a fight, and we still crush it. Ok we're pretty much dead against JJ, but that's very rare indeed considering he limped.

    So yeah, I'm raising to £1.50, expecting him to shove over the top, which I'm calling. I'm snap shoving any turn when he flats the flop raise.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  3. #3
    I just saw we have the Th, so I don't anticipate any flush draws in his range.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  4. #4
    A good question to ask yourself is how you would play your full range of hands here.

    Let’s start by talking through how you would play sets, straights, pairs, two pairs and flush draws facing a raise. Which combos would you fold, call and raise all in? And does holding a heart change that?

    What hands do you think villain can have here?
  5. #5
    oskar's Avatar
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    This is most likely an awful value line with Ax, or 2-pair by your opponent. People who are smart enough to raise the flop with draws are smart enough to raise bigger. imo your only objective should be to get it in with bets that are hard to fold for his weak one pair hands, so you want to give him the most excellent pot odds at every stage. I'd raise to 1,4
    half pot turn and that leaves you with a nice and comfortable ~1/3 pot river shove. You can pot control (bet smaller) on Q or K turns and c/f Q or K rivers is fine.
    This is also QK a decent amount, but you still have some equity against that, and you're definitely good here enough times to justify getting it in.
    The strengh of a hero is defined by the weakness of his villains.

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