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AQ 3-bet pot, villain is donk-barreling. Whats his range here? Do we let go of TPTK?

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  1. #1

    Default AQ 3-bet pot, villain is donk-barreling. Whats his range here? Do we let go of TPTK?

    PokerStars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 8 players
    Hand delivered by Upswing Poker

    UTG: $2.25 (113 bb)
    UTG+1: $1.31 (66 bb)
    MP: $1.70 (85 bb)
    MP+1 (Hero): $1.72 (86 bb)
    CO: $1.86 (93 bb)
    BU: $5.58 (279 bb)
    SB: $2.07 (104 bb)
    BB: $1.55 (78 bb)

    Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero is MP+1 with A Q
    2 players fold, MP raises to $0.06, Hero 3-bets to $0.18, 4 players fold, MP calls $0.12

    Flop: ($0.39) Q T 4 (2 players)
    MP bets $0.19, Hero calls $0.19

    Turn: ($0.77) 3 (2 players)
    MP bets $0.37, Hero calls $0.37

    River: ($1.51) 7 (2 players)
    MP bets $0.96 (all-in), Hero calls $0.96

    Wasn't quite sure what to think when villain donk bets at me on the flop I was thinking TT,
    QK, maybe JJ? It felt like a value hand should I have folded on turn here? what do you think about the hand? I felt like I had to at least call the flop 1 time with TPTK right?I mean I guess he can have QQ but would you expect those to 4-bet some of the time aswell? the river doesnt help any AJ,AK type hands, club draw is broken and Im beating QK,QJ,JJ,any draws on the river missed so only thing that beats me is TT,QQ,44, and QT? I almost wanted to fold flop and the turn.
    Last edited by DonkeyBets; 02-14-2020 at 01:14 AM.
  2. #2
    This is played fine.

    When he donks flop, he tells us he's not very good. Given that one and only read, I'm happy to give him at least some top pair and flush draw hands, maybe even KJ. This runout is as good as we could reasonably hope for, both cards are very likely blanks so nothing has changed. We were either outflopped or we're good.

    You look a lot like AK. A missed flush draw can and probably should be making this river bet. I'm not folding, but neither am I too surprised when he has a set. They are definitely in his range.

    It's worth noting there are only 7 combos of sets on this flop, while there's 8 combos of KQ. That means he's slightly more likely to have KQo than a set, assuming he always calls the 3bet with QQ TT 44 and KQ. There's 9 combos of Axd, excluding AKdd, which I assume he 4bets. So there's plenty here for us to get value from, assuming he's loose enough pre to have enough of these hands.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong

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